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icon for 31 दिसंबर तक किन कंपनियों के पास #1 AI मॉडल होगा?

31 दिसंबर तक किन कंपनियों के पास #1 AI मॉडल होगा?

icon for 31 दिसंबर तक किन कंपनियों के पास #1 AI मॉडल होगा?

31 दिसंबर तक किन कंपनियों के पास #1 AI मॉडल होगा?

जन 1, 2027

जन 1, 2027

$157,515 वॉल्यूम

31 दिस, 2026
Polymarket

$157,515 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

Google

$19,790 वॉल्यूम

27%

OpenAI

$32,094 वॉल्यूम

24%

xAI

$9,208 वॉल्यूम

13%

Z.ai

$5,454 वॉल्यूम

11%

मेटा

$17,456 वॉल्यूम

10%

मूनशॉट

$11,218 वॉल्यूम

8%

अलीबाबा

$5,110 वॉल्यूम

7%

बायडू

$2,001 वॉल्यूम

7%

DeepSeek

$23,702 वॉल्यूम

6%

Microsoft

$5,246 वॉल्यूम

5%

अमेज़न

$6,432 वॉल्यूम

3%

Mistral

$10,359 वॉल्यूम

3%

मीटुआन

$4,867 वॉल्यूम

3%

बाइटडांस

$4,577 वॉल्यूम

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic currently leads frontier AI benchmarks following its early September 2026 release of Claude Fable 5.1, which tops composite scores, coding, and reasoning leaderboards ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra. These clustered launches—alongside Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash and Meta’s Muse Spark 1.3—highlight intense competition in large language model capabilities, with Anthropic’s models frequently securing the highest marks on verified agentic and SWE-bench evaluations. Trader sentiment reflects Anthropic’s recent edge in demonstrated performance, though OpenAI’s rapid iteration and Google’s efficiency gains create ongoing volatility. Key catalysts through December include potential follow-on releases, benchmark updates, and any regulatory scrutiny over AI safety coordination that could influence development timelines or access.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$157,515
समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027
बाज़ार खुला
Apr 30, 2026, 3:22 PM ET

रिज़ॉल्वर

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic currently leads frontier AI benchmarks following its early September 2026 release of Claude Fable 5.1, which tops composite scores, coding, and reasoning leaderboards ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra. These clustered launches—alongside Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash and Meta’s Muse Spark 1.3—highlight intense competition in large language model capabilities, with Anthropic’s models frequently securing the highest marks on verified agentic and SWE-bench evaluations. Trader sentiment reflects Anthropic’s recent edge in demonstrated performance, though OpenAI’s rapid iteration and Google’s efficiency gains create ongoing volatility. Key catalysts through December include potential follow-on releases, benchmark updates, and any regulatory scrutiny over AI safety coordination that could influence development timelines or access.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$157,515
समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027
बाज़ार खुला
Apr 30, 2026, 3:22 PM ET

रिज़ॉल्वर

0x65070BE91...

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"31 दिसंबर तक किन कंपनियों के पास #1 AI मॉडल होगा?" Polymarket पर 14 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, Google 27% (27¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद OpenAI 24% पर है।

आज तक, "31 दिसंबर तक किन कंपनियों के पास #1 AI मॉडल होगा?" ने कुल $157.5K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Apr 30, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"31 दिसंबर तक किन कंपनियों के पास #1 AI मॉडल होगा?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 14 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"31 दिसंबर तक किन कंपनियों के पास #1 AI मॉडल होगा?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "Google" 27% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "OpenAI" 24% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

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