Incumbent Henry Cuellar benefits from strong name recognition and local ties in key population centers like Laredo and Webb County, along with the December 2025 presidential pardon that cleared prior federal charges and shifted expert ratings to Lean Democratic. Recent August polling shows him leading Republican nominee Tano Tijerina by 11 points among likely voters, aided by crossover appeal in a redrawn district that Trump carried in 2024. Tijerina, the Webb County judge and former Democrat, offers a credible local challenge focused on border and economic issues but trails in surveys and faces the structural headwinds of facing an entrenched incumbent. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these polling trends and institutional assessments ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$10,219 वॉल्यूम
$10,219 वॉल्यूम
4 नव, 2026
हेनरी कुएलर (डेमोक्रेट)
86%
टानो तिजेरिना (आर)
14%
$10,219 वॉल्यूम
$10,219 वॉल्यूम
4 नव, 2026
हेनरी कुएलर (डेमोक्रेट)
$4,658 वॉल्यूम
86%
टानो तिजेरिना (आर)
$5,561 वॉल्यूम
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Henry Cuellar benefits from strong name recognition and local ties in key population centers like Laredo and Webb County, along with the December 2025 presidential pardon that cleared prior federal charges and shifted expert ratings to Lean Democratic. Recent August polling shows him leading Republican nominee Tano Tijerina by 11 points among likely voters, aided by crossover appeal in a redrawn district that Trump carried in 2024. Tijerina, the Webb County judge and former Democrat, offers a credible local challenge focused on border and economic issues but trails in surveys and faces the structural headwinds of facing an entrenched incumbent. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these polling trends and institutional assessments ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,219समाप्ति तिथि
5 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Henry Cuellar benefits from strong name recognition and local ties in key population centers like Laredo and Webb County, along with the December 2025 presidential pardon that cleared prior federal charges and shifted expert ratings to Lean Democratic. Recent August polling shows him leading Republican nominee Tano Tijerina by 11 points among likely voters, aided by crossover appeal in a redrawn district that Trump carried in 2024. Tijerina, the Webb County judge and former Democrat, offers a credible local challenge focused on border and economic issues but trails in surveys and faces the structural headwinds of facing an entrenched incumbent. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these polling trends and institutional assessments ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$10,219समाप्ति तिथि
5 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Henry Cuellar benefits from strong name recognition and local ties in key population centers like Laredo and Webb County, along with the December 2025 presidential pardon that cleared prior federal charges and shifted expert ratings to Lean Democratic. Recent August polling shows him leading Republican nominee Tano Tijerina by 11 points among likely voters, aided by crossover appeal in a redrawn district that Trump carried in 2024. Tijerina, the Webb County judge and former Democrat, offers a credible local challenge focused on border and economic issues but trails in surveys and faces the structural headwinds of facing an entrenched incumbent. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these polling trends and institutional assessments ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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