Incumbent Pat Fallon secured the Republican nomination with over 80% in the March primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Jason Pearce in Texas's 4th congressional district. Multiple forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican, reflecting its consistent partisan lean, strong prior performance by Republican presidential and Senate candidates, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a low-turnout midterm environment. Pearce, who narrowly won his own primary, faces significant fundraising and organizational hurdles typical for challengers in such districts. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as unexpected national political shifts or candidate-specific events could still alter the final margin.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTX -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
TX -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$39,977 वॉल्यूम
$39,977 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
पैट फॉलन (रिपब्लिकन)
95%
जेसन पियर्स (डेमोक्रेट)
6%
$39,977 वॉल्यूम
$39,977 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
पैट फॉलन (रिपब्लिकन)
$21,766 वॉल्यूम
95%
जेसन पियर्स (डेमोक्रेट)
$18,211 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Pat Fallon secured the Republican nomination with over 80% in the March primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Jason Pearce in Texas's 4th congressional district. Multiple forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican, reflecting its consistent partisan lean, strong prior performance by Republican presidential and Senate candidates, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a low-turnout midterm environment. Pearce, who narrowly won his own primary, faces significant fundraising and organizational hurdles typical for challengers in such districts. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as unexpected national political shifts or candidate-specific events could still alter the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$39,977समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Pat Fallon secured the Republican nomination with over 80% in the March primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Jason Pearce in Texas's 4th congressional district. Multiple forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican, reflecting its consistent partisan lean, strong prior performance by Republican presidential and Senate candidates, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a low-turnout midterm environment. Pearce, who narrowly won his own primary, faces significant fundraising and organizational hurdles typical for challengers in such districts. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as unexpected national political shifts or candidate-specific events could still alter the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$39,977समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Pat Fallon secured the Republican nomination with over 80% in the March primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Jason Pearce in Texas's 4th congressional district. Multiple forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican, reflecting its consistent partisan lean, strong prior performance by Republican presidential and Senate candidates, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a low-turnout midterm environment. Pearce, who narrowly won his own primary, faces significant fundraising and organizational hurdles typical for challengers in such districts. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as unexpected national political shifts or candidate-specific events could still alter the final margin.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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