Traders assign a 97% implied probability that President Trump will not be removed via the 25th Amendment before 2027, reflecting the absence of any verified incapacity or coordinated Cabinet action under the amendment's provisions. The process requires the vice president and a majority of principal officers to declare the president unable to discharge duties, followed by potential congressional override, a threshold rarely approached in practice. With Republicans holding key institutional positions and no documented health or cognitive developments triggering formal review, the market consensus aligns with historical precedent of infrequent invocation. Late-breaking medical events, abrupt shifts in Cabinet composition, or unforeseen legal proceedings could still introduce volatility within the resolution window ending December 31, 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
3% संभावना
$50,034 वॉल्यूम
$50,034 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
3% संभावना
$50,034 वॉल्यूम
$50,034 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Traders assign a 97% implied probability that President Trump will not be removed via the 25th Amendment before 2027, reflecting the absence of any verified incapacity or coordinated Cabinet action under the amendment's provisions. The process requires the vice president and a majority of principal officers to declare the president unable to discharge duties, followed by potential congressional override, a threshold rarely approached in practice. With Republicans holding key institutional positions and no documented health or cognitive developments triggering formal review, the market consensus aligns with historical precedent of infrequent invocation. Late-breaking medical events, abrupt shifts in Cabinet composition, or unforeseen legal proceedings could still introduce volatility within the resolution window ending December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$50,034समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Traders assign a 97% implied probability that President Trump will not be removed via the 25th Amendment before 2027, reflecting the absence of any verified incapacity or coordinated Cabinet action under the amendment's provisions. The process requires the vice president and a majority of principal officers to declare the president unable to discharge duties, followed by potential congressional override, a threshold rarely approached in practice. With Republicans holding key institutional positions and no documented health or cognitive developments triggering formal review, the market consensus aligns with historical precedent of infrequent invocation. Late-breaking medical events, abrupt shifts in Cabinet composition, or unforeseen legal proceedings could still introduce volatility within the resolution window ending December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
वॉल्यूम
$50,034समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 97% implied probability that President Trump will not be removed via the 25th Amendment before 2027, reflecting the absence of any verified incapacity or coordinated Cabinet action under the amendment's provisions. The process requires the vice president and a majority of principal officers to declare the president unable to discharge duties, followed by potential congressional override, a threshold rarely approached in practice. With Republicans holding key institutional positions and no documented health or cognitive developments triggering formal review, the market consensus aligns with historical precedent of infrequent invocation. Late-breaking medical events, abrupt shifts in Cabinet composition, or unforeseen legal proceedings could still introduce volatility within the resolution window ending December 31, 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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