Google holds the strongest market-implied odds at 69.5% for third-best AI lab by end-September 2026 because traders view Anthropic and OpenAI as the clear top two based on recent benchmark leadership. Claude Fable 5.1 and GPT-6 Astra posted the highest Intelligence Index scores in early September updates, while Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash and related releases improved agentic and coding performance but trailed on flagship capability and cost-efficiency frontiers. Google’s research depth, infrastructure scale, and integration across Search, Cloud, and Maps provide a stable base that other contenders lack, even as Meta, Moonshot, and several Chinese labs post competitive open-weight or specialized results. No major new flagship announcements have shifted this ordering in the past week.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाGoogle 70%
Meta 15.3%
OpenAI 7%
Moonshot 3.7%
$66,962 वॉल्यूम
$66,962 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
70%
Meta
15%
OpenAI
7%
Moonshot
4%
Alibaba
3%
Anthropic
1%
Z.ai
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Google 70%
Meta 15.3%
OpenAI 7%
Moonshot 3.7%
$66,962 वॉल्यूम
$66,962 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
$30,499 वॉल्यूम
70%
Meta
$6,556 वॉल्यूम
15%
OpenAI
$3,479 वॉल्यूम
7%
Moonshot
$1,760 वॉल्यूम
4%
Alibaba
$7,982 वॉल्यूम
3%
Anthropic
$1,351 वॉल्यूम
1%
Z.ai
$1,405 वॉल्यूम
1%
SpaceXAI
$1,508 वॉल्यूम
1%
DeepSeek
$1,687 वॉल्यूम
1%
Baidu
$1,387 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Xiaomi
$866 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Thinky
$1,006 वॉल्यूम
<1%
MiniMax
$981 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Tencent
$1,092 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Amazon
$441 वॉल्यूम
<1%
ByteDance
$714 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Nvidia
$1,018 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Mistral
$669 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Meituan
$970 वॉल्यूम
<1%
StepFun
$421 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Microsoft
$1,170 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google holds the strongest market-implied odds at 69.5% for third-best AI lab by end-September 2026 because traders view Anthropic and OpenAI as the clear top two based on recent benchmark leadership. Claude Fable 5.1 and GPT-6 Astra posted the highest Intelligence Index scores in early September updates, while Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash and related releases improved agentic and coding performance but trailed on flagship capability and cost-efficiency frontiers. Google’s research depth, infrastructure scale, and integration across Search, Cloud, and Maps provide a stable base that other contenders lack, even as Meta, Moonshot, and several Chinese labs post competitive open-weight or specialized results. No major new flagship announcements have shifted this ordering in the past week.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$66,962समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google holds the strongest market-implied odds at 69.5% for third-best AI lab by end-September 2026 because traders view Anthropic and OpenAI as the clear top two based on recent benchmark leadership. Claude Fable 5.1 and GPT-6 Astra posted the highest Intelligence Index scores in early September updates, while Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash and related releases improved agentic and coding performance but trailed on flagship capability and cost-efficiency frontiers. Google’s research depth, infrastructure scale, and integration across Search, Cloud, and Maps provide a stable base that other contenders lack, even as Meta, Moonshot, and several Chinese labs post competitive open-weight or specialized results. No major new flagship announcements have shifted this ordering in the past week.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
वॉल्यूम
$66,962समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Google holds the strongest market-implied odds at 69.5% for third-best AI lab by end-September 2026 because traders view Anthropic and OpenAI as the clear top two based on recent benchmark leadership. Claude Fable 5.1 and GPT-6 Astra posted the highest Intelligence Index scores in early September updates, while Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash and related releases improved agentic and coding performance but trailed on flagship capability and cost-efficiency frontiers. Google’s research depth, infrastructure scale, and integration across Search, Cloud, and Maps provide a stable base that other contenders lack, even as Meta, Moonshot, and several Chinese labs post competitive open-weight or specialized results. No major new flagship announcements have shifted this ordering in the past week.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न