Forecast models and observational data from sources including the GFS ensemble and local monitoring indicate Shanghai’s minimum temperature on September 10 will settle near 22°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 70 percent. Current readings in the low-to-mid 20s°C, combined with limited nocturnal radiative cooling from cloud cover and stable atmospheric conditions, align closely with this outcome and explain the overwhelming market-implied probability. Historical September minima in the region typically range 21–24°C, providing additional context for trader positioning. Shifts in cloud cover or localized wind patterns could still produce a reading one degree lower or higher, though such deviations appear unlikely before midnight resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया10 सितंबर को शंघाई में सबसे कम तापमान?
22°C 96%
21°C 2.9%
20°C 1.0%
19°C <1%
$15,392 वॉल्यूम
$15,392 वॉल्यूम
18°C या उससे कम
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
96%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C या अधिक
<1%
22°C 96%
21°C 2.9%
20°C 1.0%
19°C <1%
$15,392 वॉल्यूम
$15,392 वॉल्यूम
18°C या उससे कम
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
96%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C या अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and observational data from sources including the GFS ensemble and local monitoring indicate Shanghai’s minimum temperature on September 10 will settle near 22°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 70 percent. Current readings in the low-to-mid 20s°C, combined with limited nocturnal radiative cooling from cloud cover and stable atmospheric conditions, align closely with this outcome and explain the overwhelming market-implied probability. Historical September minima in the region typically range 21–24°C, providing additional context for trader positioning. Shifts in cloud cover or localized wind patterns could still produce a reading one degree lower or higher, though such deviations appear unlikely before midnight resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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