**Trader consensus heavily favors 56-57°F as the lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 20, 2026, at 51% implied probability, followed by 51°F or below at 36%.** This positioning stems from the city's persistent marine layer and onshore westerly flow, which typically moderates overnight lows into the upper 50s during mid-September. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and NOAA models showed highs in the low-to-mid 60s with lows stabilizing near 57-58°F under mostly cloudy conditions and light winds, consistent with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 55.8°F. No strong offshore flow, heatwave, or anomalous cold advection developed to push readings significantly lower or higher. Recent model runs reinforced this narrow range, with minimal spread among guidance, leading markets to price the 56-57°F bin as the resolution favorite while assigning residual probability to cooler outcomes if fog and stratus deepened overnight.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया20 सितंबर को सैन फ्रांसिस्को में सबसे कम तापमान?
20 सितंबर को सैन फ्रांसिस्को में सबसे कम तापमान?
56-57°F 96%
51°F या उससे कम 45%
52-53°F 2%
54-55°F 2%
$5,857 वॉल्यूम
$5,857 वॉल्यूम
20 सित, 2026
51°F या उससे कम
45%
52-53°F
2%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
96%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
56-57°F 96%
51°F या उससे कम 45%
52-53°F 2%
54-55°F 2%
$5,857 वॉल्यूम
$5,857 वॉल्यूम
20 सित, 2026
51°F या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
45%
52-53°F
$5 वॉल्यूम
2%
54-55°F
$5 वॉल्यूम
2%
56-57°F
$126 वॉल्यूम
96%
58-59°F
$4,275 वॉल्यूम
<1%
60-61°F
$1,299 वॉल्यूम
<1%
62-63°F
$37 वॉल्यूम
<1%
64-65°F
$31 वॉल्यूम
<1%
66-67°F
$31 वॉल्यूम
<1%
68-69°F
$31 वॉल्यूम
<1%
70°F या उससे अधिक
$16 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 56-57°F as the lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 20, 2026, at 51% implied probability, followed by 51°F or below at 36%.** This positioning stems from the city's persistent marine layer and onshore westerly flow, which typically moderates overnight lows into the upper 50s during mid-September. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and NOAA models showed highs in the low-to-mid 60s with lows stabilizing near 57-58°F under mostly cloudy conditions and light winds, consistent with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 55.8°F. No strong offshore flow, heatwave, or anomalous cold advection developed to push readings significantly lower or higher. Recent model runs reinforced this narrow range, with minimal spread among guidance, leading markets to price the 56-57°F bin as the resolution favorite while assigning residual probability to cooler outcomes if fog and stratus deepened overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 18, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,857समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 18, 2026, 7:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 56-57°F as the lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 20, 2026, at 51% implied probability, followed by 51°F or below at 36%.** This positioning stems from the city's persistent marine layer and onshore westerly flow, which typically moderates overnight lows into the upper 50s during mid-September. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and NOAA models showed highs in the low-to-mid 60s with lows stabilizing near 57-58°F under mostly cloudy conditions and light winds, consistent with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 55.8°F. No strong offshore flow, heatwave, or anomalous cold advection developed to push readings significantly lower or higher. Recent model runs reinforced this narrow range, with minimal spread among guidance, leading markets to price the 56-57°F bin as the resolution favorite while assigning residual probability to cooler outcomes if fog and stratus deepened overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$5,857समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 18, 2026, 7:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 56-57°F as the lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 20, 2026, at 51% implied probability, followed by 51°F or below at 36%.** This positioning stems from the city's persistent marine layer and onshore westerly flow, which typically moderates overnight lows into the upper 50s during mid-September. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and NOAA models showed highs in the low-to-mid 60s with lows stabilizing near 57-58°F under mostly cloudy conditions and light winds, consistent with the 1991-2020 climatological average low of 55.8°F. No strong offshore flow, heatwave, or anomalous cold advection developed to push readings significantly lower or higher. Recent model runs reinforced this narrow range, with minimal spread among guidance, leading markets to price the 56-57°F bin as the resolution favorite while assigning residual probability to cooler outcomes if fog and stratus deepened overnight.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न