Recent forecast model runs highlight substantial uncertainty in Istanbul’s overnight minimum temperature for September 22, driven by variable cloud cover, wind direction shifts from the Black Sea, and possible northerly advection. Ensemble guidance from major centers shows spreads that place the outcome near the boundaries of the 10°C or below and 20°C or higher bins, consistent with the market’s near-even implied probabilities. Late-September climatology places typical lows around 15–17°C, but short-term sensitivity to radiative cooling under clear skies versus warmer maritime influence creates the observed trader split. New model cycles and observational updates expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया22 सितंबर को इस्तांबुल में सबसे कम तापमान?
22 सितंबर को इस्तांबुल में सबसे कम तापमान?
10°C या उससे कम 100%
20°C या अधिक 98%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
नया
नया
22 सित, 2026
10°C या उससे कम
100%
11°C
18%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
19%
19°C
19%
20°C या अधिक
98%
10°C या उससे कम 100%
20°C या अधिक 98%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
नया
नया
22 सित, 2026
10°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
100%
11°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
18%
12°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
13°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
14°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
15°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
16°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
18°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
19%
19°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
19%
20°C या अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs highlight substantial uncertainty in Istanbul’s overnight minimum temperature for September 22, driven by variable cloud cover, wind direction shifts from the Black Sea, and possible northerly advection. Ensemble guidance from major centers shows spreads that place the outcome near the boundaries of the 10°C or below and 20°C or higher bins, consistent with the market’s near-even implied probabilities. Late-September climatology places typical lows around 15–17°C, but short-term sensitivity to radiative cooling under clear skies versus warmer maritime influence creates the observed trader split. New model cycles and observational updates expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
22 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs highlight substantial uncertainty in Istanbul’s overnight minimum temperature for September 22, driven by variable cloud cover, wind direction shifts from the Black Sea, and possible northerly advection. Ensemble guidance from major centers shows spreads that place the outcome near the boundaries of the 10°C or below and 20°C or higher bins, consistent with the market’s near-even implied probabilities. Late-September climatology places typical lows around 15–17°C, but short-term sensitivity to radiative cooling under clear skies versus warmer maritime influence creates the observed trader split. New model cycles and observational updates expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
22 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs highlight substantial uncertainty in Istanbul’s overnight minimum temperature for September 22, driven by variable cloud cover, wind direction shifts from the Black Sea, and possible northerly advection. Ensemble guidance from major centers shows spreads that place the outcome near the boundaries of the 10°C or below and 20°C or higher bins, consistent with the market’s near-even implied probabilities. Late-September climatology places typical lows around 15–17°C, but short-term sensitivity to radiative cooling under clear skies versus warmer maritime influence creates the observed trader split. New model cycles and observational updates expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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