**The dominant 100% market-implied probability for a 27°C minimum on September 19, 2026, reflects the official Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) daily minimum temperature measurement at the primary station.** Late-summer subtropical conditions, including persistent high pressure, light easterly winds, and mostly clear skies, produced typical overnight radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. This aligns with climatological expectations for mid-to-late September, when daily minima often range 24–26°C but can reach the upper 20s under stable anticyclonic flow. Traders priced in the verified observation rather than forecasts, as resolution depends on the HKO’s published absolute daily minimum. Only an unreported station discrepancy or post-event data revision could realistically alter the outcome, though such adjustments are rare for this well-monitored site.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया19 सितंबर को हांगकांग में सबसे कम तापमान?
19 सितंबर को हांगकांग में सबसे कम तापमान?
27°C 100.0%
21°C या उससे कम <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$20,099 वॉल्यूम
$20,099 वॉल्यूम
19 सित, 2026
21°C या उससे कम
नहीं
22°C
नहीं
23°C
नहीं
24°C
नहीं
25°C
नहीं
26°C
नहीं
27°C
हाँ
28°C
नहीं
29°C
नहीं
30°C
नहीं
31°C या उससे अधिक
नहीं
27°C 100.0%
21°C या उससे कम <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$20,099 वॉल्यूम
$20,099 वॉल्यूम
19 सित, 2026
21°C या उससे कम
$41 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
22°C
$31 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
23°C
$46 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
24°C
$117 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
25°C
$2,570 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
26°C
$3,069 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
27°C
$9,621 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
28°C
$2,282 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
29°C
$41 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
30°C
$1,143 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
31°C या उससे अधिक
$1,137 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The dominant 100% market-implied probability for a 27°C minimum on September 19, 2026, reflects the official Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) daily minimum temperature measurement at the primary station.** Late-summer subtropical conditions, including persistent high pressure, light easterly winds, and mostly clear skies, produced typical overnight radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. This aligns with climatological expectations for mid-to-late September, when daily minima often range 24–26°C but can reach the upper 20s under stable anticyclonic flow. Traders priced in the verified observation rather than forecasts, as resolution depends on the HKO’s published absolute daily minimum. Only an unreported station discrepancy or post-event data revision could realistically alter the outcome, though such adjustments are rare for this well-monitored site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$20,099समाप्ति तिथि
19 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The dominant 100% market-implied probability for a 27°C minimum on September 19, 2026, reflects the official Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) daily minimum temperature measurement at the primary station.** Late-summer subtropical conditions, including persistent high pressure, light easterly winds, and mostly clear skies, produced typical overnight radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. This aligns with climatological expectations for mid-to-late September, when daily minima often range 24–26°C but can reach the upper 20s under stable anticyclonic flow. Traders priced in the verified observation rather than forecasts, as resolution depends on the HKO’s published absolute daily minimum. Only an unreported station discrepancy or post-event data revision could realistically alter the outcome, though such adjustments are rare for this well-monitored site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$20,099समाप्ति तिथि
19 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
**The dominant 100% market-implied probability for a 27°C minimum on September 19, 2026, reflects the official Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) daily minimum temperature measurement at the primary station.** Late-summer subtropical conditions, including persistent high pressure, light easterly winds, and mostly clear skies, produced typical overnight radiative cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. This aligns with climatological expectations for mid-to-late September, when daily minima often range 24–26°C but can reach the upper 20s under stable anticyclonic flow. Traders priced in the verified observation rather than forecasts, as resolution depends on the HKO’s published absolute daily minimum. Only an unreported station discrepancy or post-event data revision could realistically alter the outcome, though such adjustments are rare for this well-monitored site.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न