Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's 71 percent support in the prior presidential election. Bost secured reelection with over 70 percent of the vote in recent cycles and faces no primary opposition, while Democratic challenger Julie Fortier, an Air Force veteran and first-time candidate, advanced unopposed but trails substantially in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus pricing this outcome above 95 percent aligns with the district's structural advantages and limited recent developments that could shift momentum. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal or significant national partisan swing remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाIL-12 House Election Winner
IL-12 House Election Winner
$25,216 वॉल्यूम
$25,216 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
माइक बोस्ट (आर)
97%
जूली फोर्टियर (डेमोक्रेटिक)
3%
$25,216 वॉल्यूम
$25,216 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
माइक बोस्ट (आर)
$14,064 वॉल्यूम
97%
जूली फोर्टियर (डेमोक्रेटिक)
$11,152 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's 71 percent support in the prior presidential election. Bost secured reelection with over 70 percent of the vote in recent cycles and faces no primary opposition, while Democratic challenger Julie Fortier, an Air Force veteran and first-time candidate, advanced unopposed but trails substantially in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus pricing this outcome above 95 percent aligns with the district's structural advantages and limited recent developments that could shift momentum. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal or significant national partisan swing remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$25,216समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's 71 percent support in the prior presidential election. Bost secured reelection with over 70 percent of the vote in recent cycles and faces no primary opposition, while Democratic challenger Julie Fortier, an Air Force veteran and first-time candidate, advanced unopposed but trails substantially in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus pricing this outcome above 95 percent aligns with the district's structural advantages and limited recent developments that could shift momentum. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal or significant national partisan swing remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$25,216समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's 71 percent support in the prior presidential election. Bost secured reelection with over 70 percent of the vote in recent cycles and faces no primary opposition, while Democratic challenger Julie Fortier, an Air Force veteran and first-time candidate, advanced unopposed but trails substantially in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus pricing this outcome above 95 percent aligns with the district's structural advantages and limited recent developments that could shift momentum. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal or significant national partisan swing remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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