Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson faces Republican Christian Maxwell in the November 2026 general election for Illinois’s 1st congressional district, a seat with a D+18 partisan lean centered on Chicago’s South Side. Primary results from March 2026 confirmed Jackson’s nomination after an uncompetitive Democratic contest and Maxwell’s victory on the Republican side. Trader pricing on margin buckets, led by the 40-45 point Democratic victory range, aligns with historical performance and the absence of recent polling or campaign events that would narrow the expected spread. Low probabilities assigned to Republican victory or narrower Democratic margins reflect the district’s consistent partisan baseline, while any shift would require substantial changes in turnout patterns or late-cycle developments within the final weeks before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाडेमोक्रेट 45-50% 24%
डेमोक्रेट 40-45% 24%
डेमोक्रेट 35-40% 24%
डेमोक्रेट 30-35% 14.5%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेट 55%+
4%
डेमोक्रेट 50-55%
5%
डेमोक्रेट 45-50%
24%
डेमोक्रेट 40-45%
38%
डेमोक्रेट 35-40%
24%
डेमोक्रेट 30-35%
15%
डेमोक्रेट 25-30%
8%
डेमोक्रेट 15-25%
15%
डेमोक्रेट 0-15%
1%
Republican Wins
3%
डेमोक्रेट 45-50% 24%
डेमोक्रेट 40-45% 24%
डेमोक्रेट 35-40% 24%
डेमोक्रेट 30-35% 14.5%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेट 55%+
$737 वॉल्यूम
4%
डेमोक्रेट 50-55%
$699 वॉल्यूम
5%
डेमोक्रेट 45-50%
$230 वॉल्यूम
24%
डेमोक्रेट 40-45%
$1,038 वॉल्यूम
38%
डेमोक्रेट 35-40%
$443 वॉल्यूम
24%
डेमोक्रेट 30-35%
$181 वॉल्यूम
15%
डेमोक्रेट 25-30%
$236 वॉल्यूम
8%
डेमोक्रेट 15-25%
$157 वॉल्यूम
15%
डेमोक्रेट 0-15%
$2,568 वॉल्यूम
1%
Republican Wins
$149 वॉल्यूम
3%
The 2026 IL-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 IL-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson faces Republican Christian Maxwell in the November 2026 general election for Illinois’s 1st congressional district, a seat with a D+18 partisan lean centered on Chicago’s South Side. Primary results from March 2026 confirmed Jackson’s nomination after an uncompetitive Democratic contest and Maxwell’s victory on the Republican side. Trader pricing on margin buckets, led by the 40-45 point Democratic victory range, aligns with historical performance and the absence of recent polling or campaign events that would narrow the expected spread. Low probabilities assigned to Republican victory or narrower Democratic margins reflect the district’s consistent partisan baseline, while any shift would require substantial changes in turnout patterns or late-cycle developments within the final weeks before Election Day.
The 2026 IL-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 IL-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 IL-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 10, 2026, 10:52 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,437समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 10:52 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 IL-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 IL-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson faces Republican Christian Maxwell in the November 2026 general election for Illinois’s 1st congressional district, a seat with a D+18 partisan lean centered on Chicago’s South Side. Primary results from March 2026 confirmed Jackson’s nomination after an uncompetitive Democratic contest and Maxwell’s victory on the Republican side. Trader pricing on margin buckets, led by the 40-45 point Democratic victory range, aligns with historical performance and the absence of recent polling or campaign events that would narrow the expected spread. Low probabilities assigned to Republican victory or narrower Democratic margins reflect the district’s consistent partisan baseline, while any shift would require substantial changes in turnout patterns or late-cycle developments within the final weeks before Election Day.
The 2026 IL-01 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 IL-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 IL-01 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$6,437समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 10, 2026, 10:52 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson faces Republican Christian Maxwell in the November 2026 general election for Illinois’s 1st congressional district, a seat with a D+18 partisan lean centered on Chicago’s South Side. Primary results from March 2026 confirmed Jackson’s nomination after an uncompetitive Democratic contest and Maxwell’s victory on the Republican side. Trader pricing on margin buckets, led by the 40-45 point Democratic victory range, aligns with historical performance and the absence of recent polling or campaign events that would narrow the expected spread. Low probabilities assigned to Republican victory or narrower Democratic margins reflect the district’s consistent partisan baseline, while any shift would require substantial changes in turnout patterns or late-cycle developments within the final weeks before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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