Incumbent Republican Brad Little holds a commanding position in Idaho’s solidly Republican electorate ahead of the November 3 general election, driving trader consensus toward a comfortable victory margin while keeping Democrat Terri Pickens’ win probability near 2%. Little secured the GOP nomination in the May primary and benefits from the state’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in 2024 presidential results and all major race ratings labeling the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Recent polling from July and September shows Little leading Pickens by 15–27 points depending on independent candidate inclusion, aligning with projected margins around 30-plus points. The distribution across Republican margin buckets, peaking at 35–40%, captures remaining uncertainty over turnout, independent vote splits, and late-cycle dynamics that could narrow or widen the final spread.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारिपब्लिकन 35-40% 25%
रिपब्लिकन 20-25% 18%
रिपब्लिकन 30-35% 15%
रिपब्लिकन 25-30% 15%
$10,229 वॉल्यूम
$10,229 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन 50%+
<1%
रिपब्लिकन 45-50%
1%
रिपब्लिकन 40-45%
34%
रिपब्लिकन 35-40%
25%
रिपब्लिकन 30-35%
15%
रिपब्लिकन 25-30%
15%
रिपब्लिकन 20-25%
18%
रिपब्लिकन 15-20%
15%
रिपब्लिकन 10-15%
32%
रिपब्लिकन 0-10%
3%
डेमोक्रेट जीतता है
2%
रिपब्लिकन 35-40% 25%
रिपब्लिकन 20-25% 18%
रिपब्लिकन 30-35% 15%
रिपब्लिकन 25-30% 15%
$10,229 वॉल्यूम
$10,229 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन 50%+
$1,795 वॉल्यूम
<1%
रिपब्लिकन 45-50%
$1,156 वॉल्यूम
1%
रिपब्लिकन 40-45%
$503 वॉल्यूम
34%
रिपब्लिकन 35-40%
$797 वॉल्यूम
25%
रिपब्लिकन 30-35%
$884 वॉल्यूम
15%
रिपब्लिकन 25-30%
$1,043 वॉल्यूम
15%
रिपब्लिकन 20-25%
$1,140 वॉल्यूम
18%
रिपब्लिकन 15-20%
$1,243 वॉल्यूम
15%
रिपब्लिकन 10-15%
$424 वॉल्यूम
32%
रिपब्लिकन 0-10%
$948 वॉल्यूम
3%
डेमोक्रेट जीतता है
$295 वॉल्यूम
2%
The 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Republican Brad Little holds a commanding position in Idaho’s solidly Republican electorate ahead of the November 3 general election, driving trader consensus toward a comfortable victory margin while keeping Democrat Terri Pickens’ win probability near 2%. Little secured the GOP nomination in the May primary and benefits from the state’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in 2024 presidential results and all major race ratings labeling the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Recent polling from July and September shows Little leading Pickens by 15–27 points depending on independent candidate inclusion, aligning with projected margins around 30-plus points. The distribution across Republican margin buckets, peaking at 35–40%, captures remaining uncertainty over turnout, independent vote splits, and late-cycle dynamics that could narrow or widen the final spread.
The 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 5, 2026, 2:44 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,229समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 5, 2026, 2:44 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Republican Brad Little holds a commanding position in Idaho’s solidly Republican electorate ahead of the November 3 general election, driving trader consensus toward a comfortable victory margin while keeping Democrat Terri Pickens’ win probability near 2%. Little secured the GOP nomination in the May primary and benefits from the state’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in 2024 presidential results and all major race ratings labeling the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Recent polling from July and September shows Little leading Pickens by 15–27 points depending on independent candidate inclusion, aligning with projected margins around 30-plus points. The distribution across Republican margin buckets, peaking at 35–40%, captures remaining uncertainty over turnout, independent vote splits, and late-cycle dynamics that could narrow or widen the final spread.
The 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$10,229समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 5, 2026, 2:44 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Republican Brad Little holds a commanding position in Idaho’s solidly Republican electorate ahead of the November 3 general election, driving trader consensus toward a comfortable victory margin while keeping Democrat Terri Pickens’ win probability near 2%. Little secured the GOP nomination in the May primary and benefits from the state’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in 2024 presidential results and all major race ratings labeling the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Recent polling from July and September shows Little leading Pickens by 15–27 points depending on independent candidate inclusion, aligning with projected margins around 30-plus points. The distribution across Republican margin buckets, peaking at 35–40%, captures remaining uncertainty over turnout, independent vote splits, and late-cycle dynamics that could narrow or widen the final spread.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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