The 2025 mid-decade redistricting map, enacted by Texas Republicans at the urging of President Trump to shift five Democratic-leaning districts toward the GOP, stands as the primary driver of trader expectations around 10–13 Democratic seats in the state’s 38-district delegation. Recent Texas Southern University polling shows Democratic candidates leading or competitive in targeted South Texas races such as the 15th, 28th, and 34th districts, outperforming 2024 presidential baselines and narrowing projected Republican gains. Midterm dynamics, including typical losses for the president’s party and strong Democratic primary turnout in March 2026, further support the possibility of Democrats holding or exceeding current levels despite the map’s structural tilt. The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether polling trends or the redrawn lines will ultimately prevail on November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 22%
10 17%
11 16%
13 15%
$14,072 वॉल्यूम
$14,072 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
<8
1%
8
3%
9
8%
10
17%
11
16%
12
22%
13
15%
14+
13%
12 22%
10 17%
11 16%
13 15%
$14,072 वॉल्यूम
$14,072 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
<8
$262 वॉल्यूम
1%
8
$4,130 वॉल्यूम
3%
9
$1,500 वॉल्यूम
8%
10
$1,380 वॉल्यूम
17%
11
$824 वॉल्यूम
16%
12
$949 वॉल्यूम
22%
13
$2,032 वॉल्यूम
15%
14+
$2,996 वॉल्यूम
13%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.The 2025 mid-decade redistricting map, enacted by Texas Republicans at the urging of President Trump to shift five Democratic-leaning districts toward the GOP, stands as the primary driver of trader expectations around 10–13 Democratic seats in the state’s 38-district delegation. Recent Texas Southern University polling shows Democratic candidates leading or competitive in targeted South Texas races such as the 15th, 28th, and 34th districts, outperforming 2024 presidential baselines and narrowing projected Republican gains. Midterm dynamics, including typical losses for the president’s party and strong Democratic primary turnout in March 2026, further support the possibility of Democrats holding or exceeding current levels despite the map’s structural tilt. The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether polling trends or the redrawn lines will ultimately prevail on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,072समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.The 2025 mid-decade redistricting map, enacted by Texas Republicans at the urging of President Trump to shift five Democratic-leaning districts toward the GOP, stands as the primary driver of trader expectations around 10–13 Democratic seats in the state’s 38-district delegation. Recent Texas Southern University polling shows Democratic candidates leading or competitive in targeted South Texas races such as the 15th, 28th, and 34th districts, outperforming 2024 presidential baselines and narrowing projected Republican gains. Midterm dynamics, including typical losses for the president’s party and strong Democratic primary turnout in March 2026, further support the possibility of Democrats holding or exceeding current levels despite the map’s structural tilt. The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether polling trends or the redrawn lines will ultimately prevail on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$14,072समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The 2025 mid-decade redistricting map, enacted by Texas Republicans at the urging of President Trump to shift five Democratic-leaning districts toward the GOP, stands as the primary driver of trader expectations around 10–13 Democratic seats in the state’s 38-district delegation. Recent Texas Southern University polling shows Democratic candidates leading or competitive in targeted South Texas races such as the 15th, 28th, and 34th districts, outperforming 2024 presidential baselines and narrowing projected Republican gains. Midterm dynamics, including typical losses for the president’s party and strong Democratic primary turnout in March 2026, further support the possibility of Democrats holding or exceeding current levels despite the map’s structural tilt. The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether polling trends or the redrawn lines will ultimately prevail on November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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