Efforts to deploy a multinational International Stabilization Force (ISF) in Gaza under the U.S.-backed Board of Peace have advanced slowly since the October 2025 ceasefire. Israel’s security cabinet approved limited entry in July 2026 for a pilot program involving roughly 200 personnel from Morocco, Uganda, Albania, Kosovo, and Kazakhstan, focused on humanitarian zones, police training, and aid facilitation in areas outside full Israeli control. Moroccan officers arrived in southern Israel in June for planning, but full deployment inside Gaza remains pending amid stalled Hamas disarmament, continued Israeli strikes on militant targets, and requirements for individual approvals. Recent BRICS statements emphasized diplomatic resolution and opposed displacement, while Israeli elections scheduled for October add domestic pressures on withdrawal timelines. Somaliland has signaled potential contributions if formally requested.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHamas publicly rejects disarmament and foreign security presence in Gaza
December 31 drops to 20%8%
On September 10, 2026, senior Hamas leaders publicly rejected the disarmament plan and any foreign security force presence in Gaza, undermining the peace plan's implementation and reducing the likelihood of foreign troops entering Gaza. This stance contributed to sharp market declines in intervention probabilities for both September 30 and December 31 outcomes.
Israeli airstrikes continue in Gaza amid ongoing conflict and no foreign intervention
Israeli airstrikes caused significant casualties in Gaza, demonstrating continued Israeli military presence and operations without foreign peacekeepers or security forces entering Gaza. This reinforced market expectations of no foreign intervention and contributed to price declines near the September 30 deadline.




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