Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois holding a clear lead in popular support ahead of the October 5 vote, leaving the race for second place between the Parti libéral du Québec and the Coalition Avenir Québec. Late-campaign surveys indicate the Liberals have edged ahead in several releases as CAQ support softened after earlier gains tied to trade and leadership perceptions. This volatility, combined with regional riding dynamics and the first leaders’ debate, has produced closely matched trader-implied probabilities for which of the two parties finishes second. Further shifts in undecided voters or regional turnout patterns could widen or reverse the narrow gap before election night.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPLQ 57%
CAQ 41%
PQ 2.2%
क्यूएस <1%
$25,802 वॉल्यूम
$25,802 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
PLQ
43%
CAQ
41%
PQ
10%
क्यूएस
<1%
पीसीक्यू
<1%
पीवीक्यू
<1%
PLQ 57%
CAQ 41%
PQ 2.2%
क्यूएस <1%
$25,802 वॉल्यूम
$25,802 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
PLQ
$7,114 वॉल्यूम
43%
CAQ
$8,511 वॉल्यूम
41%
PQ
$6,063 वॉल्यूम
10%
क्यूएस
$1,688 वॉल्यूम
<1%
पीसीक्यू
$1,027 वॉल्यूम
<1%
पीवीक्यू
$1,399 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois holding a clear lead in popular support ahead of the October 5 vote, leaving the race for second place between the Parti libéral du Québec and the Coalition Avenir Québec. Late-campaign surveys indicate the Liberals have edged ahead in several releases as CAQ support softened after earlier gains tied to trade and leadership perceptions. This volatility, combined with regional riding dynamics and the first leaders’ debate, has produced closely matched trader-implied probabilities for which of the two parties finishes second. Further shifts in undecided voters or regional turnout patterns could widen or reverse the narrow gap before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$25,802समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois holding a clear lead in popular support ahead of the October 5 vote, leaving the race for second place between the Parti libéral du Québec and the Coalition Avenir Québec. Late-campaign surveys indicate the Liberals have edged ahead in several releases as CAQ support softened after earlier gains tied to trade and leadership perceptions. This volatility, combined with regional riding dynamics and the first leaders’ debate, has produced closely matched trader-implied probabilities for which of the two parties finishes second. Further shifts in undecided voters or regional turnout patterns could widen or reverse the narrow gap before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
वॉल्यूम
$25,802समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois holding a clear lead in popular support ahead of the October 5 vote, leaving the race for second place between the Parti libéral du Québec and the Coalition Avenir Québec. Late-campaign surveys indicate the Liberals have edged ahead in several releases as CAQ support softened after earlier gains tied to trade and leadership perceptions. This volatility, combined with regional riding dynamics and the first leaders’ debate, has produced closely matched trader-implied probabilities for which of the two parties finishes second. Further shifts in undecided voters or regional turnout patterns could widen or reverse the narrow gap before election night.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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