Xi Jinping maintains firm centralized control over the Chinese Communist Party, state apparatus, and People's Liberation Army through an extended anti-corruption campaign that has removed multiple senior generals and officials from the Central Military Commission in 2025-2026. Recent public appearances, including leadership at the BRICS summit in New Delhi and meetings with foreign counterparts, underscore operational stability with no verified signs of elite factionalism or coordinated challenges. Traders assign a 96.5% implied probability to no coup attempt before 2027 because the opaque system shows consistent loyalty enforcement and absence of rival power centers capable of execution. Low-probability shifts could still arise from an unforeseen leadership health event, abrupt economic rupture fracturing elite consensus, or miscalculation during the 2027 party congress transition window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
4% संभावना
$155,524 वॉल्यूम
$155,524 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
4% संभावना
$155,524 वॉल्यूम
$155,524 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm centralized control over the Chinese Communist Party, state apparatus, and People's Liberation Army through an extended anti-corruption campaign that has removed multiple senior generals and officials from the Central Military Commission in 2025-2026. Recent public appearances, including leadership at the BRICS summit in New Delhi and meetings with foreign counterparts, underscore operational stability with no verified signs of elite factionalism or coordinated challenges. Traders assign a 96.5% implied probability to no coup attempt before 2027 because the opaque system shows consistent loyalty enforcement and absence of rival power centers capable of execution. Low-probability shifts could still arise from an unforeseen leadership health event, abrupt economic rupture fracturing elite consensus, or miscalculation during the 2027 party congress transition window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$155,524समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm centralized control over the Chinese Communist Party, state apparatus, and People's Liberation Army through an extended anti-corruption campaign that has removed multiple senior generals and officials from the Central Military Commission in 2025-2026. Recent public appearances, including leadership at the BRICS summit in New Delhi and meetings with foreign counterparts, underscore operational stability with no verified signs of elite factionalism or coordinated challenges. Traders assign a 96.5% implied probability to no coup attempt before 2027 because the opaque system shows consistent loyalty enforcement and absence of rival power centers capable of execution. Low-probability shifts could still arise from an unforeseen leadership health event, abrupt economic rupture fracturing elite consensus, or miscalculation during the 2027 party congress transition window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$155,524समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping maintains firm centralized control over the Chinese Communist Party, state apparatus, and People's Liberation Army through an extended anti-corruption campaign that has removed multiple senior generals and officials from the Central Military Commission in 2025-2026. Recent public appearances, including leadership at the BRICS summit in New Delhi and meetings with foreign counterparts, underscore operational stability with no verified signs of elite factionalism or coordinated challenges. Traders assign a 96.5% implied probability to no coup attempt before 2027 because the opaque system shows consistent loyalty enforcement and absence of rival power centers capable of execution. Low-probability shifts could still arise from an unforeseen leadership health event, abrupt economic rupture fracturing elite consensus, or miscalculation during the 2027 party congress transition window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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