Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 48th Congressional District from a Republican-leaning seat held by retiring Rep. Darrell Issa into a battleground with a Democratic registration edge and a 2024 presidential baseline favoring Democrats by roughly three points. In the June 2026 top-two primary, Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego City Council member, and Republican Jim Desmond, a county supervisor endorsed by President Trump, advanced to the November general election. A late-August SurveyUSA poll showed von Wilpert narrowly ahead at 45% to 42% with 13% undecided, while independent forecasts rate the open-seat race as Lean Democratic or Toss-up. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and national midterm dynamics, though the contest remains competitive with limited polling and undecided voters.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-48 House Election Winner
CA-48 House Election Winner
$32,439 वॉल्यूम
$32,439 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
मार्नी वॉन विल्पर्ट (डेमोक्रेट)
89%
जिम डेसमंड (रिपब्लिकन)
12%
$32,439 वॉल्यूम
$32,439 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
मार्नी वॉन विल्पर्ट (डेमोक्रेट)
$17,221 वॉल्यूम
89%
जिम डेसमंड (रिपब्लिकन)
$15,218 वॉल्यूम
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 48th Congressional District from a Republican-leaning seat held by retiring Rep. Darrell Issa into a battleground with a Democratic registration edge and a 2024 presidential baseline favoring Democrats by roughly three points. In the June 2026 top-two primary, Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego City Council member, and Republican Jim Desmond, a county supervisor endorsed by President Trump, advanced to the November general election. A late-August SurveyUSA poll showed von Wilpert narrowly ahead at 45% to 42% with 13% undecided, while independent forecasts rate the open-seat race as Lean Democratic or Toss-up. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and national midterm dynamics, though the contest remains competitive with limited polling and undecided voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$32,439समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 48th Congressional District from a Republican-leaning seat held by retiring Rep. Darrell Issa into a battleground with a Democratic registration edge and a 2024 presidential baseline favoring Democrats by roughly three points. In the June 2026 top-two primary, Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego City Council member, and Republican Jim Desmond, a county supervisor endorsed by President Trump, advanced to the November general election. A late-August SurveyUSA poll showed von Wilpert narrowly ahead at 45% to 42% with 13% undecided, while independent forecasts rate the open-seat race as Lean Democratic or Toss-up. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and national midterm dynamics, though the contest remains competitive with limited polling and undecided voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$32,439समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 48th Congressional District from a Republican-leaning seat held by retiring Rep. Darrell Issa into a battleground with a Democratic registration edge and a 2024 presidential baseline favoring Democrats by roughly three points. In the June 2026 top-two primary, Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego City Council member, and Republican Jim Desmond, a county supervisor endorsed by President Trump, advanced to the November general election. A late-August SurveyUSA poll showed von Wilpert narrowly ahead at 45% to 42% with 13% undecided, while independent forecasts rate the open-seat race as Lean Democratic or Toss-up. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and national midterm dynamics, though the contest remains competitive with limited polling and undecided voters.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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