Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa holds a commanding position in California's 46th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election. The district's D+10 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles underpin the 95% trader consensus. Correa advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 52% of the vote against a fragmented Democratic field and Republican David Pan, who received about 33%. As a nine-term representative with substantial fundraising and labor endorsements, Correa benefits from standard incumbency advantages in a seat rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters. Pan, a UC Irvine professor seeking a rematch, faces a significant resource and name-recognition gap. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national political shift remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin, though current indicators point to limited volatility.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -46 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
CA -46 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$24,264 वॉल्यूम
$24,264 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
लू कोरेआ (डेमोक्रेट)
95%
डेविड पैन (रिपब्लिकन)
6%
$24,264 वॉल्यूम
$24,264 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
लू कोरेआ (डेमोक्रेट)
$4,707 वॉल्यूम
95%
डेविड पैन (रिपब्लिकन)
$19,556 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa holds a commanding position in California's 46th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election. The district's D+10 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles underpin the 95% trader consensus. Correa advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 52% of the vote against a fragmented Democratic field and Republican David Pan, who received about 33%. As a nine-term representative with substantial fundraising and labor endorsements, Correa benefits from standard incumbency advantages in a seat rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters. Pan, a UC Irvine professor seeking a rematch, faces a significant resource and name-recognition gap. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national political shift remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin, though current indicators point to limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$24,264समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa holds a commanding position in California's 46th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election. The district's D+10 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles underpin the 95% trader consensus. Correa advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 52% of the vote against a fragmented Democratic field and Republican David Pan, who received about 33%. As a nine-term representative with substantial fundraising and labor endorsements, Correa benefits from standard incumbency advantages in a seat rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters. Pan, a UC Irvine professor seeking a rematch, faces a significant resource and name-recognition gap. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national political shift remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin, though current indicators point to limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$24,264समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa holds a commanding position in California's 46th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election. The district's D+10 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles underpin the 95% trader consensus. Correa advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 52% of the vote against a fragmented Democratic field and Republican David Pan, who received about 33%. As a nine-term representative with substantial fundraising and labor endorsements, Correa benefits from standard incumbency advantages in a seat rated solid or safe Democratic by major forecasters. Pan, a UC Irvine professor seeking a rematch, faces a significant resource and name-recognition gap. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national political shift remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin, though current indicators point to limited volatility.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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