Incumbent Josh Harder secured a commanding primary win in June 2026, advancing alongside Republican John McBride in California's top-two system for the November general election. The district's partisan baseline, reflected in consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus around Harder's position. His substantial fundraising edge, with millions in cash reserves compared to McBride's limited resources, reinforces advantages in voter outreach and name recognition within the San Joaquin Valley and East Bay areas. Statewide polling trends showing Democratic leads in House races further align with current implied probabilities. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unanticipated national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -09 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
CA -09 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$20,593 वॉल्यूम
$20,593 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
जॉश हार्डर (डेमोक्रेट)
94%
जॉन मैकब्राइड (आर)
6%
$20,593 वॉल्यूम
$20,593 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
जॉश हार्डर (डेमोक्रेट)
$13,285 वॉल्यूम
94%
जॉन मैकब्राइड (आर)
$7,309 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Josh Harder secured a commanding primary win in June 2026, advancing alongside Republican John McBride in California's top-two system for the November general election. The district's partisan baseline, reflected in consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus around Harder's position. His substantial fundraising edge, with millions in cash reserves compared to McBride's limited resources, reinforces advantages in voter outreach and name recognition within the San Joaquin Valley and East Bay areas. Statewide polling trends showing Democratic leads in House races further align with current implied probabilities. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unanticipated national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$20,593समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Josh Harder secured a commanding primary win in June 2026, advancing alongside Republican John McBride in California's top-two system for the November general election. The district's partisan baseline, reflected in consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus around Harder's position. His substantial fundraising edge, with millions in cash reserves compared to McBride's limited resources, reinforces advantages in voter outreach and name recognition within the San Joaquin Valley and East Bay areas. Statewide polling trends showing Democratic leads in House races further align with current implied probabilities. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unanticipated national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$20,593समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Josh Harder secured a commanding primary win in June 2026, advancing alongside Republican John McBride in California's top-two system for the November general election. The district's partisan baseline, reflected in consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus around Harder's position. His substantial fundraising edge, with millions in cash reserves compared to McBride's limited resources, reinforces advantages in voter outreach and name recognition within the San Joaquin Valley and East Bay areas. Statewide polling trends showing Democratic leads in House races further align with current implied probabilities. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unanticipated national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न