**Recent Houthi attacks on Saudi-linked targets and the ongoing maritime blockade declared in July 2026 have kept Bab el-Mandeb transits suppressed near 25 commodity vessels per day.** Data from early September show 25 vessels transiting on September 9, with a 10-day average around 27, well below pre-2023 peaks near 60+ daily. Renewed strikes on Aramco facilities in southern Saudi Arabia and associated threats have stalled any recovery seen earlier in the summer, prompting continued rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope, increased use of dark AIS transits, and selective carrier avoidance. Tanker volumes remain especially constrained, with daily averages in the single digits amid elevated war-risk premiums. These security dynamics, rather than seasonal or macroeconomic factors, anchor trader consensus around the sub-30 ranges, as no near-term de-escalation appears imminent before month-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासितंबर के अंत में बाब अल - मंडेब जलडमरूमध्य से गुजरने वाले जहाजों का औसत #?
सितंबर के अंत में बाब अल - मंडेब जलडमरूमध्य से गुजरने वाले जहाजों का औसत #?
<25 49.7%
25-29 39%
35-39 6%
30-34 5.3%
$16,874 वॉल्यूम
$16,874 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
<25
50%
25-29
39%
30-34
5%
35-39
6%
40+
3%
<25 49.7%
25-29 39%
35-39 6%
30-34 5.3%
$16,874 वॉल्यूम
$16,874 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
<25
$3,931 वॉल्यूम
50%
25-29
$5,769 वॉल्यूम
39%
30-34
$3,659 वॉल्यूम
5%
35-39
$1,661 वॉल्यूम
6%
40+
$1,854 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for September 30, 2026.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.**Recent Houthi attacks on Saudi-linked targets and the ongoing maritime blockade declared in July 2026 have kept Bab el-Mandeb transits suppressed near 25 commodity vessels per day.**
Data from early September show 25 vessels transiting on September 9, with a 10-day average around 27, well below pre-2023 peaks near 60+ daily. Renewed strikes on Aramco facilities in southern Saudi Arabia and associated threats have stalled any recovery seen earlier in the summer, prompting continued rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope, increased use of dark AIS transits, and selective carrier avoidance. Tanker volumes remain especially constrained, with daily averages in the single digits amid elevated war-risk premiums.
These security dynamics, rather than seasonal or macroeconomic factors, anchor trader consensus around the sub-30 ranges, as no near-term de-escalation appears imminent before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for September 30, 2026.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 26, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$16,874समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 26, 2026, 6:14 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
IMF PortWatchरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for September 30, 2026.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.**Recent Houthi attacks on Saudi-linked targets and the ongoing maritime blockade declared in July 2026 have kept Bab el-Mandeb transits suppressed near 25 commodity vessels per day.**
Data from early September show 25 vessels transiting on September 9, with a 10-day average around 27, well below pre-2023 peaks near 60+ daily. Renewed strikes on Aramco facilities in southern Saudi Arabia and associated threats have stalled any recovery seen earlier in the summer, prompting continued rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope, increased use of dark AIS transits, and selective carrier avoidance. Tanker volumes remain especially constrained, with daily averages in the single digits amid elevated war-risk premiums.
These security dynamics, rather than seasonal or macroeconomic factors, anchor trader consensus around the sub-30 ranges, as no near-term de-escalation appears imminent before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for September 30, 2026.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
वॉल्यूम
$16,874समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 26, 2026, 6:14 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
IMF PortWatchरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Recent Houthi attacks on Saudi-linked targets and the ongoing maritime blockade declared in July 2026 have kept Bab el-Mandeb transits suppressed near 25 commodity vessels per day.** Data from early September show 25 vessels transiting on September 9, with a 10-day average around 27, well below pre-2023 peaks near 60+ daily. Renewed strikes on Aramco facilities in southern Saudi Arabia and associated threats have stalled any recovery seen earlier in the summer, prompting continued rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope, increased use of dark AIS transits, and selective carrier avoidance. Tanker volumes remain especially constrained, with daily averages in the single digits amid elevated war-risk premiums. These security dynamics, rather than seasonal or macroeconomic factors, anchor trader consensus around the sub-30 ranges, as no near-term de-escalation appears imminent before month-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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