Democrats hold a roughly two-thirds probability of regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms, according to recent polling aggregates. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries stated on September 13 that Democrats have not ruled out impeachment proceedings if they secure the majority, with ranking members on Judiciary and Oversight expected to lead investigations into administration actions. Multiple Democratic resolutions have already been introduced in the current Republican-controlled House and referred to committee without advancement. Traders price the 68.5% implied probability for impeachment before January 2029 on the expectation that a Democratic House would advance articles, though Senate conviction would require bipartisan support exceeding historical patterns from Trump’s prior impeachments. Upcoming election results and any subsequent committee actions remain the primary near-term catalysts.