The US conducted a targeted January 2026 special forces operation that captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, installing interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez while establishing diplomatic and economic engagement. Recent developments center on an August 2026 oil agreement granting US-linked entities majority stakes in significant reserves, alongside coordinated actions such as a June airstrike against a criminal leader. Legal proceedings against Maduro continue in New York, with motions filed in early September, while administration comments point to extended transition timelines potentially extending into 2028–2030. These factors frame trader assessments around whether further large-scale military deployment remains likely amid ongoing stabilization, resource deals, and sanctions leverage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLes États-Unis vont-ils envahir le Venezuela par... ?
Les États-Unis vont-ils envahir le Venezuela par... ?
$14,196,699 Vol.
30 mars 2026
31 décembre
3%
$14,196,699 Vol.
31 décembre
$240,691 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The US conducted a targeted January 2026 special forces operation that captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, installing interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez while establishing diplomatic and economic engagement. Recent developments center on an August 2026 oil agreement granting US-linked entities majority stakes in significant reserves, alongside coordinated actions such as a June airstrike against a criminal leader. Legal proceedings against Maduro continue in New York, with motions filed in early September, while administration comments point to extended transition timelines potentially extending into 2028–2030. These factors frame trader assessments around whether further large-scale military deployment remains likely amid ongoing stabilization, resource deals, and sanctions leverage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
Volume
$14,196,699Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The US conducted a targeted January 2026 special forces operation that captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, installing interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez while establishing diplomatic and economic engagement. Recent developments center on an August 2026 oil agreement granting US-linked entities majority stakes in significant reserves, alongside coordinated actions such as a June airstrike against a criminal leader. Legal proceedings against Maduro continue in New York, with motions filed in early September, while administration comments point to extended transition timelines potentially extending into 2028–2030. These factors frame trader assessments around whether further large-scale military deployment remains likely amid ongoing stabilization, resource deals, and sanctions leverage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Volume
$14,196,699Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...The US conducted a targeted January 2026 special forces operation that captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, installing interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez while establishing diplomatic and economic engagement. Recent developments center on an August 2026 oil agreement granting US-linked entities majority stakes in significant reserves, alongside coordinated actions such as a June airstrike against a criminal leader. Legal proceedings against Maduro continue in New York, with motions filed in early September, while administration comments point to extended transition timelines potentially extending into 2028–2030. These factors frame trader assessments around whether further large-scale military deployment remains likely amid ongoing stabilization, resource deals, and sanctions leverage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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