Recent collapse of the Stripe-Advent consortium’s $53 billion bid for PayPal in late August 2026 has anchored the 95% market-implied probability against a 2026 acquisition. PayPal’s board viewed the $60.50-per-share offer as undervaluing the company amid its turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores, while regulatory scrutiny, financing hurdles, and valuation gaps prevented agreement. With PayPal’s market capitalization near $46 billion and Stripe’s private valuation around $156–159 billion, the failed approach leaves limited runway for renewed negotiations before year-end. Traders price the outcome as near-certain given the short timeline and focus on organic growth. Residual tail risks include an eleventh-hour sweetened bid or intervention by another acquirer, though both scenarios face steep execution barriers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourStripe va-t-il acquérir Paypal en 2026 ?
Stripe va-t-il acquérir Paypal en 2026 ?
Oui
5% chance
$90,936 Vol.
$90,936 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
5% chance
$90,936 Vol.
$90,936 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent collapse of the Stripe-Advent consortium’s $53 billion bid for PayPal in late August 2026 has anchored the 95% market-implied probability against a 2026 acquisition. PayPal’s board viewed the $60.50-per-share offer as undervaluing the company amid its turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores, while regulatory scrutiny, financing hurdles, and valuation gaps prevented agreement. With PayPal’s market capitalization near $46 billion and Stripe’s private valuation around $156–159 billion, the failed approach leaves limited runway for renewed negotiations before year-end. Traders price the outcome as near-certain given the short timeline and focus on organic growth. Residual tail risks include an eleventh-hour sweetened bid or intervention by another acquirer, though both scenarios face steep execution barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$90,936Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent collapse of the Stripe-Advent consortium’s $53 billion bid for PayPal in late August 2026 has anchored the 95% market-implied probability against a 2026 acquisition. PayPal’s board viewed the $60.50-per-share offer as undervaluing the company amid its turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores, while regulatory scrutiny, financing hurdles, and valuation gaps prevented agreement. With PayPal’s market capitalization near $46 billion and Stripe’s private valuation around $156–159 billion, the failed approach leaves limited runway for renewed negotiations before year-end. Traders price the outcome as near-certain given the short timeline and focus on organic growth. Residual tail risks include an eleventh-hour sweetened bid or intervention by another acquirer, though both scenarios face steep execution barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$90,936Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Recent collapse of the Stripe-Advent consortium’s $53 billion bid for PayPal in late August 2026 has anchored the 95% market-implied probability against a 2026 acquisition. PayPal’s board viewed the $60.50-per-share offer as undervaluing the company amid its turnaround under CEO Enrique Lores, while regulatory scrutiny, financing hurdles, and valuation gaps prevented agreement. With PayPal’s market capitalization near $46 billion and Stripe’s private valuation around $156–159 billion, the failed approach leaves limited runway for renewed negotiations before year-end. Traders price the outcome as near-certain given the short timeline and focus on organic growth. Residual tail risks include an eleventh-hour sweetened bid or intervention by another acquirer, though both scenarios face steep execution barriers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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