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icon for Ilhan Omar sera-t-elle déportée en 2026 ?

Ilhan Omar sera-t-elle déportée en 2026 ?

icon for Ilhan Omar sera-t-elle déportée en 2026 ?

Ilhan Omar sera-t-elle déportée en 2026 ?

Oui

6% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Oui

6% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.Recent statements from Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin highlight an ongoing federal investigation into long-standing allegations that Rep. Ilhan Omar engaged in marriage fraud to facilitate immigration, with potential implications for her naturalized citizenship granted in 2000. However, trader consensus at 94% against deportation in 2026 reflects the substantial legal and procedural hurdles involved. Denaturalization requires a successful civil action by the Department of Justice in federal court on grounds of willful misrepresentation, followed by removal proceedings—steps that have not advanced to formal charges or rulings. As a sitting member of Congress, Omar benefits from institutional protections, and unsubstantiated claims dating back over a decade have not produced verifiable evidence sufficient to meet evidentiary standards within the resolution timeframe.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.

A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
Volume
$596
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.Recent statements from Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin highlight an ongoing federal investigation into long-standing allegations that Rep. Ilhan Omar engaged in marriage fraud to facilitate immigration, with potential implications for her naturalized citizenship granted in 2000. However, trader consensus at 94% against deportation in 2026 reflects the substantial legal and procedural hurdles involved. Denaturalization requires a successful civil action by the Department of Justice in federal court on grounds of willful misrepresentation, followed by removal proceedings—steps that have not advanced to formal charges or rulings. As a sitting member of Congress, Omar benefits from institutional protections, and unsubstantiated claims dating back over a decade have not produced verifiable evidence sufficient to meet evidentiary standards within the resolution timeframe.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.

A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
Volume
$596
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Aug 25, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...

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Questions fréquentes

« Ilhan Omar sera-t-elle déportée en 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Ilhan Omar sera-t-elle expulsée en 2026 ? » à 6%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 6¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 6% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Ilhan Omar sera-t-elle déportée en 2026 ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 25, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Ilhan Omar sera-t-elle déportée en 2026 ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « Ilhan Omar sera-t-elle déportée en 2026 ? » est « Ilhan Omar sera-t-elle expulsée en 2026 ? » à seulement 6%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Ilhan Omar sera-t-elle déportée en 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.