Disney+ subscriber growth has slowed markedly since its post-restructure recovery, with the last official count at 131.6 million paid users at the end of fiscal Q4 2025. Analysts project only modest quarterly additions of 1.5–2 million through 2026, driven by pricing discipline, ad-tier adoption, and international expansion rather than aggressive acquisition. This steady but limited pace keeps the service well below the 150 million threshold by late September 2026, supporting the strong market consensus for “No.” A major content catalyst such as the Avengers: Doomsday streaming debut could accelerate sign-ups, yet historical patterns and current momentum suggest any surge would fall short of closing the gap in time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
9% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Oui
9% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Disney+ officially reports 150 million or more paid subscribers in its fiscal year 2026 annual report (10-K). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count.
If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).Disney+ subscriber growth has slowed markedly since its post-restructure recovery, with the last official count at 131.6 million paid users at the end of fiscal Q4 2025. Analysts project only modest quarterly additions of 1.5–2 million through 2026, driven by pricing discipline, ad-tier adoption, and international expansion rather than aggressive acquisition. This steady but limited pace keeps the service well below the 150 million threshold by late September 2026, supporting the strong market consensus for “No.” A major content catalyst such as the Avengers: Doomsday streaming debut could accelerate sign-ups, yet historical patterns and current momentum suggest any surge would fall short of closing the gap in time.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Disney+ officially reports 150 million or more paid subscribers in its fiscal year 2026 annual report (10-K). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count.
If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).
For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count.
If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Volume
$1,757Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Disney+ officially reports 150 million or more paid subscribers in its fiscal year 2026 annual report (10-K). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count.
If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).Disney+ subscriber growth has slowed markedly since its post-restructure recovery, with the last official count at 131.6 million paid users at the end of fiscal Q4 2025. Analysts project only modest quarterly additions of 1.5–2 million through 2026, driven by pricing discipline, ad-tier adoption, and international expansion rather than aggressive acquisition. This steady but limited pace keeps the service well below the 150 million threshold by late September 2026, supporting the strong market consensus for “No.” A major content catalyst such as the Avengers: Doomsday streaming debut could accelerate sign-ups, yet historical patterns and current momentum suggest any surge would fall short of closing the gap in time.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Disney+ officially reports 150 million or more paid subscribers in its fiscal year 2026 annual report (10-K). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count.
If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).
For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count.
If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).
Volume
$1,757Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Disney+ subscriber growth has slowed markedly since its post-restructure recovery, with the last official count at 131.6 million paid users at the end of fiscal Q4 2025. Analysts project only modest quarterly additions of 1.5–2 million through 2026, driven by pricing discipline, ad-tier adoption, and international expansion rather than aggressive acquisition. This steady but limited pace keeps the service well below the 150 million threshold by late September 2026, supporting the strong market consensus for “No.” A major content catalyst such as the Avengers: Doomsday streaming debut could accelerate sign-ups, yet historical patterns and current momentum suggest any surge would fall short of closing the gap in time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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