Skip to main content

Pour trader aux États-Unis, va sur polymarket.us

icon for IPhone de base 18 sorti par... ?
Tech·ICP

IPhone de base 18 sorti par... ?

icon for IPhone de base 18 sorti par... ?
Tech·ICP

IPhone de base 18 sorti par... ?

NOUVEAU
28 févr. 2027
Polymarket

$252 Vol.

Polymarket

28 février 2027

$124 Vol.

28%

31 mars 2027

$88 Vol.

71%

30 avril 2027

$40 Vol.

85%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s decision to skip the base iPhone 18 at its September 9, 2026 event, focusing instead on the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo, has shifted trader expectations toward a spring 2027 launch. Multiple supply-chain reports and supplier comments, including from camera lens maker Largan Precision, confirmed the split-release strategy driven by component constraints and efforts to emphasize higher-margin premium models. The base model, along with an iPhone 18e and updated Air variant, is now slated for early 2027 with an A20 chip, aligning with Apple’s pattern of staggered rollouts to manage production and demand. Upcoming catalysts include any March 2027 announcements or further supply updates that could confirm or adjust the timeline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$252
Date de fin
1 mai 2027
Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s decision to skip the base iPhone 18 at its September 9, 2026 event, focusing instead on the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo, has shifted trader expectations toward a spring 2027 launch. Multiple supply-chain reports and supplier comments, including from camera lens maker Largan Precision, confirmed the split-release strategy driven by component constraints and efforts to emphasize higher-margin premium models. The base model, along with an iPhone 18e and updated Air variant, is now slated for early 2027 with an A20 chip, aligning with Apple’s pattern of staggered rollouts to manage production and demand. Upcoming catalysts include any March 2027 announcements or further supply updates that could confirm or adjust the timeline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$252
Date de fin
1 mai 2027
Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...

Connexes

icon for Apple lancera-t-il un iPhone pliable d'ici le 31 octobre ?

Apple lancera-t-il un iPhone pliable d'ici le 31 octobre ?

99%
Oui
icon for Apple Vision Pro 2 sorti avant 2027 ?

Apple Vision Pro 2 sorti avant 2027 ?

4%
Oui
icon for Apple va-t-elle lancer une nouvelle gamme de produits avant 2027 ?

Apple va-t-elle lancer une nouvelle gamme de produits avant 2027 ?

21%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« IPhone de base 18 sorti par... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 30 avril 2027 » à 85%, suivi de « 31 mars 2027 » à 71%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 85¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 85% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« IPhone de base 18 sorti par... ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 18, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « IPhone de base 18 sorti par... ? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « IPhone de base 18 sorti par... ? » est « 30 avril 2027 » à 85%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 85% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 31 mars 2027 » à 71%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « IPhone de base 18 sorti par... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.