This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple officially unveiled its first foldable iPhone, dubbed the iPhone Duo, on September 9, 2026, during its annual event alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. The book-style device features a 5.4-inch outer display and a 7.6-inch inner OLED screen when unfolded, titanium construction, and starts at $1,999, with preorders beginning October 16 and retail availability on October 23. This followed months of supply-chain reports confirming production ramps, iOS 27 code hints at foldable multitasking, and competitive pressure from Samsung’s Galaxy Z Fold series. The launch removes prior uncertainty around 2026 timing while highlighting Apple’s focus on durability and a less visible crease compared to rivals. Traders should monitor any last-minute supply or regulatory shifts ahead of the October ship date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Apple officially unveiled its first foldable iPhone, dubbed the iPhone Duo, on September 9, 2026, during its annual event alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. The book-style device features a 5.4-inch outer display and a 7.6-inch inner OLED screen when unfolded, titanium construction, and starts at $1,999, with preorders beginning October 16 and retail availability on October 23. This followed months of supply-chain reports confirming production ramps, iOS 27 code hints at foldable multitasking, and competitive pressure from Samsung’s Galaxy Z Fold series. The launch removes prior uncertainty around 2026 timing while highlighting Apple’s focus on durability and a less visible crease compared to rivals. Traders should monitor any last-minute supply or regulatory shifts ahead of the October ship date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Hidden code in the iOS 27 developer beta references foldable hardware features such as fold states and hinge angles, confirming Apple's foldable iPhone is in advanced development and supporting a 2026 launch timeline.
Sep 9 2026
Bloomberg reports foldable iPhone Ultra to launch September 9 with premium features and price
Bloomberg's Mark Gurman reported that Apple's foldable iPhone, internally called iPhone Ultra, will launch on September 9, 2026, featuring a titanium frame, crease-free display, and a starting price around $2,000, reinforcing market expectations for a premium foldable release.
Sep 9 2026
Apple unveils iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and first foldable iPhone at 'Surprise and Shine' event
Apple revealed its first foldable iPhone alongside the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max at the September 9 event, confirming the product's existence and imminent market availability, which was a pivotal moment for the market resolution.
Sep 9 2026
Mass production of foldable iPhone begins with Foxconn, supply constraints expected
Reports confirmed that Foxconn started trial and mass production of Apple's foldable iPhone in mid-2026, with supply constraints likely limiting initial availability, which could delay widespread sales until late 2026 or early 2027.
Sep 9 2026
Supply chain reports indicate limited initial availability of foldable iPhone, with US prioritized
December 31 rises to 99%4%
Supply chain sources reported that the foldable iPhone would have limited initial availability, prioritizing the US market with other regions like China facing delays, which could affect the timing of widespread purchase availability within 2026.
Aug 26 2026
Apple officially announces September 9 event to unveil iPhone 18 Pro and first foldable iPhone
September 9 plunges to 0%47%
Apple confirmed its September 9, 2026 event where it will unveil the iPhone 18 Pro lineup and its first foldable iPhone, signaling a major product launch and boosting market certainty about the foldable iPhone release.
Aug 2 2026
Analyst Jeff Pu reports Apple plans two foldable devices in 2026, including foldable iPhone in late 2026
Jeff Pu's research report highlighted Apple's plan to launch two foldable devices in 2026, with the foldable iPhone expected in late 2026 featuring a wrap-around foldable design. This report increased market confidence in a 2026 foldable iPhone release.
Jul 30 2026
Apple’s foldable iPhone production delay narrows but availability may slip to October or later
While mass production started in late July, reports indicated a potential gap between announcement and availability due to strict quality control, possibly pushing sales to October or later. This tempered some expectations but maintained confidence in a 2026 release.
Jul 26 2026
Apple’s foldable iPhone moves from rumor to mass-production sprint in June 2026
December 31 rises to 90%1%
Reports confirmed that Samsung Display is building foldable OLED panels and Foxconn is ramping up production volume in late July, with a September unveiling widely expected. This confirmed the production timeline and supported the market’s high confidence in a 2026 release.
Jul 13 2026
Momentum builds for Apple iPhone Ultra foldable debut in September 2026
December 31 rises to 90%2%
Multiple credible outlets reported growing momentum behind Apple's planned September 2026 launch of its foldable iPhone, possibly branded as iPhone Ultra, alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. This reinforced market expectations for a fall release.
Jun 30 2026
Reports suggest Apple foldable iPhone production delays but no launch postponement
December 31 dips to 82%3%
Despite some reports of hinge development challenges causing production delays, Apple has not officially delayed the foldable iPhone launch, maintaining expectations for availability by late 2026.
Jun 24 2026
Apple to start mass production of foldable iPhone in late July after hinge issues resolved
December 31 jumps to 90%5%
Reports from The Elec indicated Apple would begin mass production of its first foldable iPhone in late July 2026, with hinge manufacturing problems largely resolved. This development supported expectations of a September unveiling alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, boosting market confidence.
Jun 14 2026
Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo affirm September 2026 launch for Apple foldable iPhone
December 31 jumps to 91%5%
Prominent Apple analysts Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo reiterated that Apple’s foldable iPhone is set for a September 2026 launch, with production underway and the device positioned as a premium flagship.
May 13 2026
Supply chain reports confirm mass production ramp-up for Apple foldable iPhone
December 31 jumps to 88%5%
Reports indicated that Samsung Display and Foxconn are ramping up production of foldable OLED panels and assembly for Apple’s foldable iPhone, supporting expectations for a September 2026 launch and availability by year-end.
Apr 28 2026
Leaked details reveal Apple’s foldable iPhone with crease-free display and $2,000-$2,500 price
December 31 jumps to 88%8%
Leaked reports detailed Apple’s foldable iPhone design featuring a nearly crease-free display and premium materials, with a late 2026 release window and a high price point, signaling a cautious but confident market entry.
Apr 7 2026
Analyst suggests Apple iPhone Fold shipments may start in December 2026, delaying availability
December 31 dips to 80%1%
Barclays analyst Tim Long indicated that while Apple may announce the foldable iPhone in September 2026, shipments and availability to the public could be delayed until December 2026, introducing some uncertainty about immediate purchase availability.
Apr 7 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone remains on track for September 2026 launch alongside iPhone 18 Pro
December 31 rises to 81%1%
Bloomberg's Mark Gurman confirmed that despite earlier concerns about engineering challenges, Apple is still planning to launch its foldable iPhone in September 2026 with the iPhone 18 Pro lineup, bolstering market confidence in a timely release.
Apr 6 2026
Apple's iPhone Fold enters trial production phase ahead of 2026 launch
December 31 dips to 78%2%
Reports confirmed that Apple has started trial production of the foldable iPhone, a key step before mass production, indicating progress toward a 2026 launch though possibly later than September, supporting a December availability possibility.
Mar 11 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone mass production phase begins at Foxconn
December 31 rises to 87%3%
Industry analyst Jeff Pu reported that Apple's foldable iPhone entered the New Product Introduction phase at Foxconn in March 2025, with mass production expected in the second half of 2026, supporting the likelihood of a 2026 release.
Feb 20 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone expected to launch in 2026 with ambitious design and four cameras
December 31 jumps to 85%6%
Reports from Mark Gurman and others detailed Apple's plans for a foldable iPhone launching in 2026 featuring a book-style design, four cameras, a custom C2 modem, and a redesigned biometric system with Touch ID. This news increased market confidence in the product's release within the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple officially unveiled its first foldable iPhone, dubbed the iPhone Duo, on September 9, 2026, during its annual event alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. The book-style device features a 5.4-inch outer display and a 7.6-inch inner OLED screen when unfolded, titanium construction, and starts at $1,999, with preorders beginning October 16 and retail availability on October 23. This followed months of supply-chain reports confirming production ramps, iOS 27 code hints at foldable multitasking, and competitive pressure from Samsung’s Galaxy Z Fold series. The launch removes prior uncertainty around 2026 timing while highlighting Apple’s focus on durability and a less visible crease compared to rivals. Traders should monitor any last-minute supply or regulatory shifts ahead of the October ship date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Apple officially unveiled its first foldable iPhone, dubbed the iPhone Duo, on September 9, 2026, during its annual event alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. The book-style device features a 5.4-inch outer display and a 7.6-inch inner OLED screen when unfolded, titanium construction, and starts at $1,999, with preorders beginning October 16 and retail availability on October 23. This followed months of supply-chain reports confirming production ramps, iOS 27 code hints at foldable multitasking, and competitive pressure from Samsung’s Galaxy Z Fold series. The launch removes prior uncertainty around 2026 timing while highlighting Apple’s focus on durability and a less visible crease compared to rivals. Traders should monitor any last-minute supply or regulatory shifts ahead of the October ship date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Hidden code in the iOS 27 developer beta references foldable hardware features such as fold states and hinge angles, confirming Apple's foldable iPhone is in advanced development and supporting a 2026 launch timeline.
Sep 9 2026
Bloomberg reports foldable iPhone Ultra to launch September 9 with premium features and price
Bloomberg's Mark Gurman reported that Apple's foldable iPhone, internally called iPhone Ultra, will launch on September 9, 2026, featuring a titanium frame, crease-free display, and a starting price around $2,000, reinforcing market expectations for a premium foldable release.
Sep 9 2026
Apple unveils iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and first foldable iPhone at 'Surprise and Shine' event
Apple revealed its first foldable iPhone alongside the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max at the September 9 event, confirming the product's existence and imminent market availability, which was a pivotal moment for the market resolution.
Sep 9 2026
Mass production of foldable iPhone begins with Foxconn, supply constraints expected
Reports confirmed that Foxconn started trial and mass production of Apple's foldable iPhone in mid-2026, with supply constraints likely limiting initial availability, which could delay widespread sales until late 2026 or early 2027.
Sep 9 2026
Supply chain reports indicate limited initial availability of foldable iPhone, with US prioritized
December 31 rises to 99%4%
Supply chain sources reported that the foldable iPhone would have limited initial availability, prioritizing the US market with other regions like China facing delays, which could affect the timing of widespread purchase availability within 2026.
Aug 26 2026
Apple officially announces September 9 event to unveil iPhone 18 Pro and first foldable iPhone
September 9 plunges to 0%47%
Apple confirmed its September 9, 2026 event where it will unveil the iPhone 18 Pro lineup and its first foldable iPhone, signaling a major product launch and boosting market certainty about the foldable iPhone release.
Aug 2 2026
Analyst Jeff Pu reports Apple plans two foldable devices in 2026, including foldable iPhone in late 2026
Jeff Pu's research report highlighted Apple's plan to launch two foldable devices in 2026, with the foldable iPhone expected in late 2026 featuring a wrap-around foldable design. This report increased market confidence in a 2026 foldable iPhone release.
Jul 30 2026
Apple’s foldable iPhone production delay narrows but availability may slip to October or later
While mass production started in late July, reports indicated a potential gap between announcement and availability due to strict quality control, possibly pushing sales to October or later. This tempered some expectations but maintained confidence in a 2026 release.
Jul 26 2026
Apple’s foldable iPhone moves from rumor to mass-production sprint in June 2026
December 31 rises to 90%1%
Reports confirmed that Samsung Display is building foldable OLED panels and Foxconn is ramping up production volume in late July, with a September unveiling widely expected. This confirmed the production timeline and supported the market’s high confidence in a 2026 release.
Jul 13 2026
Momentum builds for Apple iPhone Ultra foldable debut in September 2026
December 31 rises to 90%2%
Multiple credible outlets reported growing momentum behind Apple's planned September 2026 launch of its foldable iPhone, possibly branded as iPhone Ultra, alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. This reinforced market expectations for a fall release.
Jun 30 2026
Reports suggest Apple foldable iPhone production delays but no launch postponement
December 31 dips to 82%3%
Despite some reports of hinge development challenges causing production delays, Apple has not officially delayed the foldable iPhone launch, maintaining expectations for availability by late 2026.
Jun 24 2026
Apple to start mass production of foldable iPhone in late July after hinge issues resolved
December 31 jumps to 90%5%
Reports from The Elec indicated Apple would begin mass production of its first foldable iPhone in late July 2026, with hinge manufacturing problems largely resolved. This development supported expectations of a September unveiling alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, boosting market confidence.
Jun 14 2026
Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo affirm September 2026 launch for Apple foldable iPhone
December 31 jumps to 91%5%
Prominent Apple analysts Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo reiterated that Apple’s foldable iPhone is set for a September 2026 launch, with production underway and the device positioned as a premium flagship.
May 13 2026
Supply chain reports confirm mass production ramp-up for Apple foldable iPhone
December 31 jumps to 88%5%
Reports indicated that Samsung Display and Foxconn are ramping up production of foldable OLED panels and assembly for Apple’s foldable iPhone, supporting expectations for a September 2026 launch and availability by year-end.
Apr 28 2026
Leaked details reveal Apple’s foldable iPhone with crease-free display and $2,000-$2,500 price
December 31 jumps to 88%8%
Leaked reports detailed Apple’s foldable iPhone design featuring a nearly crease-free display and premium materials, with a late 2026 release window and a high price point, signaling a cautious but confident market entry.
Apr 7 2026
Analyst suggests Apple iPhone Fold shipments may start in December 2026, delaying availability
December 31 dips to 80%1%
Barclays analyst Tim Long indicated that while Apple may announce the foldable iPhone in September 2026, shipments and availability to the public could be delayed until December 2026, introducing some uncertainty about immediate purchase availability.
Apr 7 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone remains on track for September 2026 launch alongside iPhone 18 Pro
December 31 rises to 81%1%
Bloomberg's Mark Gurman confirmed that despite earlier concerns about engineering challenges, Apple is still planning to launch its foldable iPhone in September 2026 with the iPhone 18 Pro lineup, bolstering market confidence in a timely release.
Apr 6 2026
Apple's iPhone Fold enters trial production phase ahead of 2026 launch
December 31 dips to 78%2%
Reports confirmed that Apple has started trial production of the foldable iPhone, a key step before mass production, indicating progress toward a 2026 launch though possibly later than September, supporting a December availability possibility.
Mar 11 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone mass production phase begins at Foxconn
December 31 rises to 87%3%
Industry analyst Jeff Pu reported that Apple's foldable iPhone entered the New Product Introduction phase at Foxconn in March 2025, with mass production expected in the second half of 2026, supporting the likelihood of a 2026 release.
Feb 20 2026
Apple's foldable iPhone expected to launch in 2026 with ambitious design and four cameras
December 31 jumps to 85%6%
Reports from Mark Gurman and others detailed Apple's plans for a foldable iPhone launching in 2026 featuring a book-style design, four cameras, a custom C2 modem, and a redesigned biometric system with Touch ID. This news increased market confidence in the product's release within the year.
« Apple va-t-il sortir un iPhone pliable d'ici... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 31 octobre » à 99%, suivi de « 31 décembre » à 99%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 99¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 99% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.
À ce jour, « Apple va-t-il sortir un iPhone pliable d'ici... ? » a généré $944.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 12, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.
Pour trader sur « Apple va-t-il sortir un iPhone pliable d'ici... ? », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.
Le favori actuel pour « Apple va-t-il sortir un iPhone pliable d'ici... ? » est « 31 octobre » à 99%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 99% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 31 décembre » à 99%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.
Les règles de résolution de « Apple va-t-il sortir un iPhone pliable d'ici... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.
Oui. Vous n'avez pas besoin de trader pour rester informé. Cette page sert de suivi en direct pour « Apple va-t-il sortir un iPhone pliable d'ici... ? ». Les probabilités des résultats sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que de nouvelles transactions arrivent. Vous pouvez ajouter cette page à vos favoris et consulter la section commentaires pour voir ce que disent les autres traders. Vous pouvez également utiliser les filtres de plage temporelle sur le graphique pour voir comment les cotes ont évolué au fil du temps.
Les cotes de Polymarket sont fixées par de vrais traders qui mettent de l'argent réel derrière leurs convictions, ce qui tend à produire des prédictions précises. Avec $944.9K échangés sur « Apple va-t-il sortir un iPhone pliable d'ici... ? », ces prix agrègent les connaissances collectives et la conviction de milliers de participants — surpassant souvent les sondages, les prévisions d’experts et les enquêtes traditionnelles. Les marchés de prédiction comme Polymarket ont un solide historique de précision, surtout à mesure que les événements approchent de leur date de résolution. Par exemple, Polymarket a un score de précision sur un mois de 94%. Pour les dernières statistiques sur la précision des prédictions de Polymarket, visitez la page de précision sur Polymarket.
Pour placer votre première transaction sur « Apple va-t-il sortir un iPhone pliable d'ici... ? », inscrivez-vous pour un compte Polymarket gratuit et approvisionnez-le en utilisant des cryptomonnaies, une carte de crédit ou débit, ou un virement bancaire. Une fois votre compte approvisionné, revenez sur cette page, sélectionnez le résultat sur lequel vous souhaitez trader, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous êtes nouveau dans les marchés de prédiction, cliquez sur le lien « Comment ça marche » en haut de n'importe quelle page Polymarket pour un guide étape par étape.
Sur Polymarket, le prix de chaque résultat représente la probabilité implicite du marché. Un prix de 99¢ pour « 31 octobre » sur le marché « Apple va-t-il sortir un iPhone pliable d'ici... ? » signifie que les traders estiment collectivement qu'il y a environ une probabilité de 99% que « 31 octobre » sera le résultat correct. Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » à 99¢ et que le résultat est correct, vous recevez $1,00 par part — un gain de 1¢ par part. S'il est incorrect, ces parts valent $0.
Le marché « Apple va-t-il sortir un iPhone pliable d'ici... ? » est prévu pour être résolu autour du Dec 31, 2026. Cela signifie que le trading restera ouvert et les cotes continueront d'évoluer jusqu'à cette date. Le moment exact de la résolution dépend de la disponibilité du résultat officiel, comme décrit dans la section « Règles ».
Le marché « Apple va-t-il sortir un iPhone pliable d'ici... ? » a une communauté active de 25 commentaires où les traders partagent leurs analyses, débattent des résultats et discutent des derniers développements. Faites défiler jusqu'à la section commentaires ci-dessous pour lire ce que pensent les autres participants. Vous pouvez également filtrer par « Principaux détenteurs » ou consulter l'onglet « Activité » pour un flux en temps réel des transactions.
Polymarket est le plus grand marché de prédiction au monde, où vous pouvez rester informé et profiter de vos connaissances sur les événements du monde réel. Les traders achètent et vendent des parts sur des résultats allant de la politique et des élections aux cryptomonnaies, finances, sports, technologie et culture, y compris des marchés comme « Apple va-t-il sortir un iPhone pliable d'ici... ? ». Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel soutenues par une conviction financière, fournissant souvent des signaux plus rapides et plus précis que les sondages, les commentateurs ou les enquêtes traditionnelles.
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