Traders assign a 95% probability to no new country joining the Abraham Accords by October 31, reflecting the short remaining window and absence of active diplomatic processes that could produce a formal signing. Recent developments center on deepening ties with existing participants, such as the September 2026 agreement between Israel, Morocco, and the United States to upgrade diplomatic missions to full embassies, restore direct flights, and finalize investment pacts by year-end. Speculation about potential future members like Kuwait has surfaced in official comments estimating timelines of four to six months, while broader pushes involving Saudi Arabia or others remain stalled amid regional security dynamics and Palestinian-related conditions. No scheduled summits or verified breakthroughs align with the immediate deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
5% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 oct. 2026
Oui
5% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 oct. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 95% probability to no new country joining the Abraham Accords by October 31, reflecting the short remaining window and absence of active diplomatic processes that could produce a formal signing. Recent developments center on deepening ties with existing participants, such as the September 2026 agreement between Israel, Morocco, and the United States to upgrade diplomatic missions to full embassies, restore direct flights, and finalize investment pacts by year-end. Speculation about potential future members like Kuwait has surfaced in official comments estimating timelines of four to six months, while broader pushes involving Saudi Arabia or others remain stalled amid regional security dynamics and Palestinian-related conditions. No scheduled summits or verified breakthroughs align with the immediate deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 26, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Volume
$3,864Date de fin
31 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 5:42 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 95% probability to no new country joining the Abraham Accords by October 31, reflecting the short remaining window and absence of active diplomatic processes that could produce a formal signing. Recent developments center on deepening ties with existing participants, such as the September 2026 agreement between Israel, Morocco, and the United States to upgrade diplomatic missions to full embassies, restore direct flights, and finalize investment pacts by year-end. Speculation about potential future members like Kuwait has surfaced in official comments estimating timelines of four to six months, while broader pushes involving Saudi Arabia or others remain stalled amid regional security dynamics and Palestinian-related conditions. No scheduled summits or verified breakthroughs align with the immediate deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,864Date de fin
31 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 5:42 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 95% probability to no new country joining the Abraham Accords by October 31, reflecting the short remaining window and absence of active diplomatic processes that could produce a formal signing. Recent developments center on deepening ties with existing participants, such as the September 2026 agreement between Israel, Morocco, and the United States to upgrade diplomatic missions to full embassies, restore direct flights, and finalize investment pacts by year-end. Speculation about potential future members like Kuwait has surfaced in official comments estimating timelines of four to six months, while broader pushes involving Saudi Arabia or others remain stalled amid regional security dynamics and Palestinian-related conditions. No scheduled summits or verified breakthroughs align with the immediate deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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