John McGuire holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District as the Republican incumbent seeking a second term, reflecting the seat’s longstanding Republican lean and his decisive primary win over challenger Melanie Lucero. The district, encompassing rural Southside and Central Virginia including Charlottesville, Lynchburg, and Danville, has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, with baseline metrics showing a double-digit Republican advantage. Tom Perriello, the former representative who last held the seat in 2011, secured the Democratic nomination but faces structural headwinds in a midterm environment. Recent campaign developments, including Perriello’s emphasis on McGuire’s legislative record and debate participation alongside Democratic efforts to highlight competitiveness, have not shifted the race into toss-up territory according to trader pricing. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date, with an independent candidate also on the ballot.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants VA-05
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants VA-05
$66,472 Vol.
$66,472 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
John McGuire (R)
84%
Tom Perriello (D)
15%
$66,472 Vol.
$66,472 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
John McGuire (R)
$32,601 Vol.
84%
Tom Perriello (D)
$33,870 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John McGuire holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District as the Republican incumbent seeking a second term, reflecting the seat’s longstanding Republican lean and his decisive primary win over challenger Melanie Lucero. The district, encompassing rural Southside and Central Virginia including Charlottesville, Lynchburg, and Danville, has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, with baseline metrics showing a double-digit Republican advantage. Tom Perriello, the former representative who last held the seat in 2011, secured the Democratic nomination but faces structural headwinds in a midterm environment. Recent campaign developments, including Perriello’s emphasis on McGuire’s legislative record and debate participation alongside Democratic efforts to highlight competitiveness, have not shifted the race into toss-up territory according to trader pricing. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date, with an independent candidate also on the ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$66,472Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John McGuire holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District as the Republican incumbent seeking a second term, reflecting the seat’s longstanding Republican lean and his decisive primary win over challenger Melanie Lucero. The district, encompassing rural Southside and Central Virginia including Charlottesville, Lynchburg, and Danville, has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, with baseline metrics showing a double-digit Republican advantage. Tom Perriello, the former representative who last held the seat in 2011, secured the Democratic nomination but faces structural headwinds in a midterm environment. Recent campaign developments, including Perriello’s emphasis on McGuire’s legislative record and debate participation alongside Democratic efforts to highlight competitiveness, have not shifted the race into toss-up territory according to trader pricing. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date, with an independent candidate also on the ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$66,472Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...John McGuire holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District as the Republican incumbent seeking a second term, reflecting the seat’s longstanding Republican lean and his decisive primary win over challenger Melanie Lucero. The district, encompassing rural Southside and Central Virginia including Charlottesville, Lynchburg, and Danville, has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, with baseline metrics showing a double-digit Republican advantage. Tom Perriello, the former representative who last held the seat in 2011, secured the Democratic nomination but faces structural headwinds in a midterm environment. Recent campaign developments, including Perriello’s emphasis on McGuire’s legislative record and debate participation alongside Democratic efforts to highlight competitiveness, have not shifted the race into toss-up territory according to trader pricing. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date, with an independent candidate also on the ballot.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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