The Trump administration’s maximum pressure campaign, including the May 2026 Executive Order 14404 authorizing secondary sanctions on GAESA-linked entities and the January 2026 oil blockade, remains the dominant driver of US-Cuba economic relations. Recent September designations targeting nickel mining, military-industrial, and revenue-generating firms have further restricted foreign investment and shipping, exacerbating Cuba’s shortages while Havana advances its own June-approved package of 176 market-liberalization measures to attract private and diaspora capital. Secret talks earlier in 2026 that explored US oil supplies and investment in exchange for concessions collapsed amid domestic political constraints and Cuban resistance, with officials stating no formal agenda exists despite ongoing contacts. Any path to a bilateral economic deal would require verifiable Cuban policy shifts sufficient to alter the current sanctions trajectory before scheduled reviews or new designations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAccord économique entre les États-Unis et Cuba par... ?
Accord économique entre les États-Unis et Cuba par... ?
$435,127 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
December 31
15%
$435,127 Vol.
December 31
$23,254 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The Trump administration’s maximum pressure campaign, including the May 2026 Executive Order 14404 authorizing secondary sanctions on GAESA-linked entities and the January 2026 oil blockade, remains the dominant driver of US-Cuba economic relations. Recent September designations targeting nickel mining, military-industrial, and revenue-generating firms have further restricted foreign investment and shipping, exacerbating Cuba’s shortages while Havana advances its own June-approved package of 176 market-liberalization measures to attract private and diaspora capital. Secret talks earlier in 2026 that explored US oil supplies and investment in exchange for concessions collapsed amid domestic political constraints and Cuban resistance, with officials stating no formal agenda exists despite ongoing contacts. Any path to a bilateral economic deal would require verifiable Cuban policy shifts sufficient to alter the current sanctions trajectory before scheduled reviews or new designations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Marché ouvert : Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ET
Volume
$435,127Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The Trump administration’s maximum pressure campaign, including the May 2026 Executive Order 14404 authorizing secondary sanctions on GAESA-linked entities and the January 2026 oil blockade, remains the dominant driver of US-Cuba economic relations. Recent September designations targeting nickel mining, military-industrial, and revenue-generating firms have further restricted foreign investment and shipping, exacerbating Cuba’s shortages while Havana advances its own June-approved package of 176 market-liberalization measures to attract private and diaspora capital. Secret talks earlier in 2026 that explored US oil supplies and investment in exchange for concessions collapsed amid domestic political constraints and Cuban resistance, with officials stating no formal agenda exists despite ongoing contacts. Any path to a bilateral economic deal would require verifiable Cuban policy shifts sufficient to alter the current sanctions trajectory before scheduled reviews or new designations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$435,127Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration’s maximum pressure campaign, including the May 2026 Executive Order 14404 authorizing secondary sanctions on GAESA-linked entities and the January 2026 oil blockade, remains the dominant driver of US-Cuba economic relations. Recent September designations targeting nickel mining, military-industrial, and revenue-generating firms have further restricted foreign investment and shipping, exacerbating Cuba’s shortages while Havana advances its own June-approved package of 176 market-liberalization measures to attract private and diaspora capital. Secret talks earlier in 2026 that explored US oil supplies and investment in exchange for concessions collapsed amid domestic political constraints and Cuban resistance, with officials stating no formal agenda exists despite ongoing contacts. Any path to a bilateral economic deal would require verifiable Cuban policy shifts sufficient to alter the current sanctions trajectory before scheduled reviews or new designations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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