Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow nowcasts for Q3 2026 have climbed to 5.1 percent, supported by resilient personal consumption expenditures tracking near 3.7 percent and strength in equipment and intellectual property investment tied to AI capital spending. Preliminary Commerce Department data showed 3.1 percent annualized growth, with exports contributing positively, while FOMC September projections placed full-year 2026 growth at a 2.3 percent median. These releases have lifted trader-implied odds for outcomes at or above 3.0 percent to 68.5 percent, reflecting the economy’s continued expansion above potential despite the Fed’s recent policy recalibration and persistent inflation pressures above target. Upcoming data revisions and Q4 momentum will influence final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour≥3.0% 68%
2.5–3.0% 11%
2.0–2.5% 7%
<0.5% 4.3%
$34,215 Vol.
$34,215 Vol.
29 oct. 2026
<0.5%
4%
0.5–1.0%
2%
1.0–1.5%
2%
1.5–2.0%
7%
2.0–2.5%
7%
2.5–3.0%
11%
≥3.0%
68%
≥3.0% 68%
2.5–3.0% 11%
2.0–2.5% 7%
<0.5% 4.3%
$34,215 Vol.
$34,215 Vol.
29 oct. 2026
<0.5%
$1,224 Vol.
4%
0.5–1.0%
$872 Vol.
2%
1.0–1.5%
$860 Vol.
2%
1.5–2.0%
$1,030 Vol.
7%
2.0–2.5%
$2,353 Vol.
7%
2.5–3.0%
$3,925 Vol.
11%
≥3.0%
$24,001 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow nowcasts for Q3 2026 have climbed to 5.1 percent, supported by resilient personal consumption expenditures tracking near 3.7 percent and strength in equipment and intellectual property investment tied to AI capital spending. Preliminary Commerce Department data showed 3.1 percent annualized growth, with exports contributing positively, while FOMC September projections placed full-year 2026 growth at a 2.3 percent median. These releases have lifted trader-implied odds for outcomes at or above 3.0 percent to 68.5 percent, reflecting the economy’s continued expansion above potential despite the Fed’s recent policy recalibration and persistent inflation pressures above target. Upcoming data revisions and Q4 momentum will influence final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
Volume
$34,215Date de fin
29 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow nowcasts for Q3 2026 have climbed to 5.1 percent, supported by resilient personal consumption expenditures tracking near 3.7 percent and strength in equipment and intellectual property investment tied to AI capital spending. Preliminary Commerce Department data showed 3.1 percent annualized growth, with exports contributing positively, while FOMC September projections placed full-year 2026 growth at a 2.3 percent median. These releases have lifted trader-implied odds for outcomes at or above 3.0 percent to 68.5 percent, reflecting the economy’s continued expansion above potential despite the Fed’s recent policy recalibration and persistent inflation pressures above target. Upcoming data revisions and Q4 momentum will influence final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
Volume
$34,215Date de fin
29 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow nowcasts for Q3 2026 have climbed to 5.1 percent, supported by resilient personal consumption expenditures tracking near 3.7 percent and strength in equipment and intellectual property investment tied to AI capital spending. Preliminary Commerce Department data showed 3.1 percent annualized growth, with exports contributing positively, while FOMC September projections placed full-year 2026 growth at a 2.3 percent median. These releases have lifted trader-implied odds for outcomes at or above 3.0 percent to 68.5 percent, reflecting the economy’s continued expansion above potential despite the Fed’s recent policy recalibration and persistent inflation pressures above target. Upcoming data revisions and Q4 momentum will influence final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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