Incumbent Republican John Carter holds a commanding position in Texas's 31st congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and prior results where Donald Trump carried it by double digits. Carter, first elected in 2002 and a senior member of the Appropriations Committee, secured his party's nomination with roughly 60 percent in the March primary against multiple challengers and carries endorsements from key party figures. The general election matchup on November 3 pits him against Democrat Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker in a district anchored by Williamson and Bell counties. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Carter's 64 percent win in 2024. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving the 84-year-old incumbent represent the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-31
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-31
$45,380 Vol.
$45,380 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
John Carter (R)
93%
Justin Early (D)
7%
$45,380 Vol.
$45,380 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
John Carter (R)
$24,919 Vol.
93%
Justin Early (D)
$20,462 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter holds a commanding position in Texas's 31st congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and prior results where Donald Trump carried it by double digits. Carter, first elected in 2002 and a senior member of the Appropriations Committee, secured his party's nomination with roughly 60 percent in the March primary against multiple challengers and carries endorsements from key party figures. The general election matchup on November 3 pits him against Democrat Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker in a district anchored by Williamson and Bell counties. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Carter's 64 percent win in 2024. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving the 84-year-old incumbent represent the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$45,380Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter holds a commanding position in Texas's 31st congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and prior results where Donald Trump carried it by double digits. Carter, first elected in 2002 and a senior member of the Appropriations Committee, secured his party's nomination with roughly 60 percent in the March primary against multiple challengers and carries endorsements from key party figures. The general election matchup on November 3 pits him against Democrat Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker in a district anchored by Williamson and Bell counties. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Carter's 64 percent win in 2024. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving the 84-year-old incumbent represent the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,380Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Carter holds a commanding position in Texas's 31st congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and prior results where Donald Trump carried it by double digits. Carter, first elected in 2002 and a senior member of the Appropriations Committee, secured his party's nomination with roughly 60 percent in the March primary against multiple challengers and carries endorsements from key party figures. The general election matchup on November 3 pits him against Democrat Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker in a district anchored by Williamson and Bell counties. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Carter's 64 percent win in 2024. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving the 84-year-old incumbent represent the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes