Recent US diplomatic efforts, including envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner’s September 5–6 visits to Moscow and Kyiv, have renewed momentum for trilateral Russia-Ukraine-US talks after a pause since February. Russian officials, including Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov, have signaled openness to resuming negotiations in the near term, possibly October in the UAE or another venue, while Ukrainian presidential chief of staff Kyrylo Budanov confirmed preparations for early October sessions focused on de-escalation steps such as limits on strikes against infrastructure and Black Sea navigation. Persistent barriers include Russia’s territorial demands exceeding current frontline positions and Ukraine’s insistence on security guarantees, with both sides continuing military operations. The UN General Assembly later in September offers a potential venue for further high-level engagement that could influence whether formal talks advance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$771,916 Vol.
30 septembre
4%
15 octobre
25%
31 octobre
43%
30 novembre
58%
31 décembre
67%
$771,916 Vol.
30 septembre
4%
15 octobre
25%
31 octobre
43%
30 novembre
58%
31 décembre
67%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...Recent US diplomatic efforts, including envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner’s September 5–6 visits to Moscow and Kyiv, have renewed momentum for trilateral Russia-Ukraine-US talks after a pause since February. Russian officials, including Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov, have signaled openness to resuming negotiations in the near term, possibly October in the UAE or another venue, while Ukrainian presidential chief of staff Kyrylo Budanov confirmed preparations for early October sessions focused on de-escalation steps such as limits on strikes against infrastructure and Black Sea navigation. Persistent barriers include Russia’s territorial demands exceeding current frontline positions and Ukraine’s insistence on security guarantees, with both sides continuing military operations. The UN General Assembly later in September offers a potential venue for further high-level engagement that could influence whether formal talks advance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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