Incumbent Republican Mike Turner faces Democratic nominee Kristina Knickerbocker in Ohio’s 10th congressional district, rated R+4 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index. Recent July 2026 polls show Turner ahead by 5 to 9 points in head-to-head matchups, consistent with forecasters placing the seat in the Likely Republican category. The district’s modest Republican lean, combined with Turner’s incumbency advantage and fundraising edge, supports trader expectations of a GOP victory margin clustered between 3 and 12 percent. National midterm conditions, turnout patterns among suburban and Dayton-area voters, and any late-cycle shifts in generic ballot sentiment remain the primary variables that could widen or narrow the final spread before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRépublicain 6-9 % 20%
Républicain 3-6 % 18%
Démocrate 3 %+ 15%
Républicain 9-12% 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Républicain 21 %+
8%
Républicain 18-21 %
18%
Républicain 15-18 %
5%
Républicain 12-15 %
11%
Républicain 9-12%
14%
Républicain 6-9 %
20%
Républicain 3-6 %
18%
Républicain 0-3 %
10%
Démocrate 0-3 %
4%
Démocrate 3 %+
15%
Républicain 6-9 % 20%
Républicain 3-6 % 18%
Démocrate 3 %+ 15%
Républicain 9-12% 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Républicain 21 %+
$628 Vol.
8%
Républicain 18-21 %
$192 Vol.
18%
Républicain 15-18 %
$113 Vol.
5%
Républicain 12-15 %
$182 Vol.
11%
Républicain 9-12%
$154 Vol.
14%
Républicain 6-9 %
$122 Vol.
20%
Républicain 3-6 %
$369 Vol.
18%
Républicain 0-3 %
$138 Vol.
10%
Démocrate 0-3 %
$164 Vol.
4%
Démocrate 3 %+
$275 Vol.
15%
The 2026 OH-10 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 OH-10 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Republican Mike Turner faces Democratic nominee Kristina Knickerbocker in Ohio’s 10th congressional district, rated R+4 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index. Recent July 2026 polls show Turner ahead by 5 to 9 points in head-to-head matchups, consistent with forecasters placing the seat in the Likely Republican category. The district’s modest Republican lean, combined with Turner’s incumbency advantage and fundraising edge, supports trader expectations of a GOP victory margin clustered between 3 and 12 percent. National midterm conditions, turnout patterns among suburban and Dayton-area voters, and any late-cycle shifts in generic ballot sentiment remain the primary variables that could widen or narrow the final spread before November 3.
The 2026 OH-10 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 OH-10 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 OH-10 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Volume
$2,336Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 2:37 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 OH-10 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 OH-10 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Republican Mike Turner faces Democratic nominee Kristina Knickerbocker in Ohio’s 10th congressional district, rated R+4 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index. Recent July 2026 polls show Turner ahead by 5 to 9 points in head-to-head matchups, consistent with forecasters placing the seat in the Likely Republican category. The district’s modest Republican lean, combined with Turner’s incumbency advantage and fundraising edge, supports trader expectations of a GOP victory margin clustered between 3 and 12 percent. National midterm conditions, turnout patterns among suburban and Dayton-area voters, and any late-cycle shifts in generic ballot sentiment remain the primary variables that could widen or narrow the final spread before November 3.
The 2026 OH-10 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 OH-10 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 OH-10 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,336Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 2:37 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Republican Mike Turner faces Democratic nominee Kristina Knickerbocker in Ohio’s 10th congressional district, rated R+4 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index. Recent July 2026 polls show Turner ahead by 5 to 9 points in head-to-head matchups, consistent with forecasters placing the seat in the Likely Republican category. The district’s modest Republican lean, combined with Turner’s incumbency advantage and fundraising edge, supports trader expectations of a GOP victory margin clustered between 3 and 12 percent. National midterm conditions, turnout patterns among suburban and Dayton-area voters, and any late-cycle shifts in generic ballot sentiment remain the primary variables that could widen or narrow the final spread before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le candidat du Parti démocrate gagnera-t-il l'élection à la Chambre de l'OH-07 en 2026 avec une avance de 12 % ou plus ?
25%
Oui
Le candidat du Parti républicain gagnera-t-il l'élection de la Chambre de l'OH-06 en 2026 avec une avance de 25 % à 30 % ?
37%
Oui
Le candidat du Parti démocrate remportera-t-il l'élection à la Chambre de l'OH-11 en 2026 avec 55%-60% des voix ?
33%
Oui
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