Pat Harrigan’s position as the Republican incumbent in North Carolina’s 10th congressional district underpins the strong trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The district carries an R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and receives Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Harrigan secured his party’s nomination with nearly 88 percent in the March 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge, with over $1 million raised compared with Democratic nominee Ashley Bell’s roughly $84,000 through June. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major late-cycle developments, sustain the wide gap. Only an unforeseen national political shift, candidate health event, or significant scandal would realistically alter the outcome before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre NC-10
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre NC-10
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 nov. 2026
Pat Harrigan (R)
95%
Ashley Bell (D)
7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 nov. 2026
Pat Harrigan (R)
$3,715 Vol.
95%
Ashley Bell (D)
$3,763 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pat Harrigan’s position as the Republican incumbent in North Carolina’s 10th congressional district underpins the strong trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The district carries an R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and receives Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Harrigan secured his party’s nomination with nearly 88 percent in the March 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge, with over $1 million raised compared with Democratic nominee Ashley Bell’s roughly $84,000 through June. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major late-cycle developments, sustain the wide gap. Only an unforeseen national political shift, candidate health event, or significant scandal would realistically alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$7,478Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pat Harrigan’s position as the Republican incumbent in North Carolina’s 10th congressional district underpins the strong trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The district carries an R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and receives Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Harrigan secured his party’s nomination with nearly 88 percent in the March 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge, with over $1 million raised compared with Democratic nominee Ashley Bell’s roughly $84,000 through June. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major late-cycle developments, sustain the wide gap. Only an unforeseen national political shift, candidate health event, or significant scandal would realistically alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,478Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Pat Harrigan’s position as the Republican incumbent in North Carolina’s 10th congressional district underpins the strong trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The district carries an R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and receives Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Harrigan secured his party’s nomination with nearly 88 percent in the March 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising edge, with over $1 million raised compared with Democratic nominee Ashley Bell’s roughly $84,000 through June. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive polling or major late-cycle developments, sustain the wide gap. Only an unforeseen national political shift, candidate health event, or significant scandal would realistically alter the outcome before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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