Musk's entrenched position as Tesla founder, major shareholder, and visionary leader behind its shift toward autonomous driving and robotics underpins the 95.8% market-implied odds he remains CEO through 2026. Recent developments reinforce this consensus, including the Cybercab robotaxi launch, ongoing Optimus humanoid robot production scaling, record vehicle deliveries, and Musk's push for unsupervised Full Self-Driving capabilities by year-end. Board statements have repeatedly denied successor searches, while Musk continues directing AI initiatives and capital expenditures exceeding $25 billion. Though low-probability disruptions like intensified NHTSA scrutiny on self-certification, missed autonomy milestones, or sudden governance shifts could intervene, traders see these as unlikely to force an exit before 2027 given his operational grip and aligned incentives.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
4% chance
$17,110 Vol.
$17,110 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
4% chance
$17,110 Vol.
$17,110 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Musk's entrenched position as Tesla founder, major shareholder, and visionary leader behind its shift toward autonomous driving and robotics underpins the 95.8% market-implied odds he remains CEO through 2026. Recent developments reinforce this consensus, including the Cybercab robotaxi launch, ongoing Optimus humanoid robot production scaling, record vehicle deliveries, and Musk's push for unsupervised Full Self-Driving capabilities by year-end. Board statements have repeatedly denied successor searches, while Musk continues directing AI initiatives and capital expenditures exceeding $25 billion. Though low-probability disruptions like intensified NHTSA scrutiny on self-certification, missed autonomy milestones, or sudden governance shifts could intervene, traders see these as unlikely to force an exit before 2027 given his operational grip and aligned incentives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 12, 2025, 4:31 PM ET
Volume
$17,110Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Nov 12, 2025, 4:31 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Musk's entrenched position as Tesla founder, major shareholder, and visionary leader behind its shift toward autonomous driving and robotics underpins the 95.8% market-implied odds he remains CEO through 2026. Recent developments reinforce this consensus, including the Cybercab robotaxi launch, ongoing Optimus humanoid robot production scaling, record vehicle deliveries, and Musk's push for unsupervised Full Self-Driving capabilities by year-end. Board statements have repeatedly denied successor searches, while Musk continues directing AI initiatives and capital expenditures exceeding $25 billion. Though low-probability disruptions like intensified NHTSA scrutiny on self-certification, missed autonomy milestones, or sudden governance shifts could intervene, traders see these as unlikely to force an exit before 2027 given his operational grip and aligned incentives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$17,110Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Nov 12, 2025, 4:31 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Musk's entrenched position as Tesla founder, major shareholder, and visionary leader behind its shift toward autonomous driving and robotics underpins the 95.8% market-implied odds he remains CEO through 2026. Recent developments reinforce this consensus, including the Cybercab robotaxi launch, ongoing Optimus humanoid robot production scaling, record vehicle deliveries, and Musk's push for unsupervised Full Self-Driving capabilities by year-end. Board statements have repeatedly denied successor searches, while Musk continues directing AI initiatives and capital expenditures exceeding $25 billion. Though low-probability disruptions like intensified NHTSA scrutiny on self-certification, missed autonomy milestones, or sudden governance shifts could intervene, traders see these as unlikely to force an exit before 2027 given his operational grip and aligned incentives.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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