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icon for JD Vance sorti en tant que VP d'ici... ?
Politique·Cabinet Trump

JD Vance sorti en tant que VP d'ici... ?

icon for JD Vance sorti en tant que VP d'ici... ?
Politique·Cabinet Trump

JD Vance sorti en tant que VP d'ici... ?

$242,048 Vol.

31 déc. 2026
Polymarket

$242,048 Vol.

Polymarket

31 décembre

$150,740 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vice President JD Vance remains in office with no official indications of resignation or removal as of early September 2026. Trader consensus assigns low probability to his departure by year-end, reflecting his expanded portfolio including leadership on fraud investigations in Democratic-led states, diplomatic efforts in Iran-related ceasefire talks, and active campaigning ahead of the November midterms. Recent reporting shows President Trump shifting toward explicit preference for Vance over alternatives like Secretary of State Marco Rubio in private comments and positioning, bolstered by Vance's media visibility, fundraising, and personal developments such as weight loss and the birth of a fourth child. The 2026 midterms and any subsequent 2028 succession dynamics represent the primary near-term variables that could influence standing.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$242,048
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vice President JD Vance remains in office with no official indications of resignation or removal as of early September 2026. Trader consensus assigns low probability to his departure by year-end, reflecting his expanded portfolio including leadership on fraud investigations in Democratic-led states, diplomatic efforts in Iran-related ceasefire talks, and active campaigning ahead of the November midterms. Recent reporting shows President Trump shifting toward explicit preference for Vance over alternatives like Secretary of State Marco Rubio in private comments and positioning, bolstered by Vance's media visibility, fundraising, and personal developments such as weight loss and the birth of a fourth child. The 2026 midterms and any subsequent 2028 succession dynamics represent the primary near-term variables that could influence standing.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$242,048
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
May 27, 2026, 11:08 AM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...

Connexes

icon for Vance annonce-t-il cette année qu'il ne se présentera pas à l'élection présidentielle de 2028 ?

Vance annonce-t-il cette année qu'il ne se présentera pas à l'élection présidentielle de 2028 ?

8%
Oui
icon for Trump ne sera plus président d'ici le 30 septembre ?

Trump ne sera plus président d'ici le 30 septembre ?

1%
Oui
icon for Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

6%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« JD Vance sorti en tant que VP d'ici... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 31 décembre » à 6%, suivi de « 15 juin » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 6¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 6% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « JD Vance sorti en tant que VP d'ici... ? » a généré $242K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 27, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « JD Vance sorti en tant que VP d'ici... ? », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « JD Vance sorti en tant que VP d'ici... ? » est « 31 décembre » à seulement 6%, avec « 15 juin » juste derrière à 0%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « JD Vance sorti en tant que VP d'ici... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.