Incumbent Democrat André Carson maintains a commanding lead in Indiana's 7th congressional district due to the seat's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including his 68 percent share in 2024. Carson secured the nomination in the May 2026 primary and benefits from established fundraising and name recognition in the urban Indianapolis area, while Republican nominee Patrick McAuley faces structural headwinds with minimal reported resources. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the outcome. A late-cycle shift would require an extraordinary event such as candidate withdrawal, significant health developments, or an unprecedented national partisan swing before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourIN-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
IN-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$45,726 Vol.
$45,726 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
André Carson (D)
97%
Patrick McAuley (R)
1%
$45,726 Vol.
$45,726 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
André Carson (D)
$7,947 Vol.
97%
Patrick McAuley (R)
$37,779 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat André Carson maintains a commanding lead in Indiana's 7th congressional district due to the seat's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including his 68 percent share in 2024. Carson secured the nomination in the May 2026 primary and benefits from established fundraising and name recognition in the urban Indianapolis area, while Republican nominee Patrick McAuley faces structural headwinds with minimal reported resources. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the outcome. A late-cycle shift would require an extraordinary event such as candidate withdrawal, significant health developments, or an unprecedented national partisan swing before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$45,726Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat André Carson maintains a commanding lead in Indiana's 7th congressional district due to the seat's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including his 68 percent share in 2024. Carson secured the nomination in the May 2026 primary and benefits from established fundraising and name recognition in the urban Indianapolis area, while Republican nominee Patrick McAuley faces structural headwinds with minimal reported resources. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the outcome. A late-cycle shift would require an extraordinary event such as candidate withdrawal, significant health developments, or an unprecedented national partisan swing before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,726Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat André Carson maintains a commanding lead in Indiana's 7th congressional district due to the seat's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including his 68 percent share in 2024. Carson secured the nomination in the May 2026 primary and benefits from established fundraising and name recognition in the urban Indianapolis area, while Republican nominee Patrick McAuley faces structural headwinds with minimal reported resources. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the outcome. A late-cycle shift would require an extraordinary event such as candidate withdrawal, significant health developments, or an unprecedented national partisan swing before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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