The 10-year Treasury yield currently trades near 5.00%, up roughly 80 basis points since late February amid resilient U.S. growth, elevated inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, and a higher term premium. The Federal Reserve’s September 16 decision to hike the federal funds rate 25 basis points to the 3.75–4.00% range, citing strong economic momentum, AI-driven capital expenditures, and geopolitical pressures, has reinforced market-implied expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path. Fiscal supply pressures from large deficits and corporate borrowing further support elevated real yields. Key upcoming catalysts include the October 27–28 FOMC meeting, September CPI and employment data, and Q3 GDP, which could shift rate expectations and influence whether yields test lower levels before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJusqu'à quel point le rendement des bons du Trésor à 10 ans sera-t-il faible avant 2027 ?
Jusqu'à quel point le rendement des bons du Trésor à 10 ans sera-t-il faible avant 2027 ?
$286,092 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
Sous 3,9%
3%
Sous 3,8 %
2%
Sous 3,7 %
3%
Sous 3,6 %
2%
Sous 3,5 %
2%
Sous 3,0 %
1%
En dessous de 2,0 %
2%
Sous 1,0 %
1%
$286,092 Vol.
Sous 3,9%
$54,748 Vol.
3%
Sous 3,8 %
$62,740 Vol.
2%
Sous 3,7 %
$35,630 Vol.
3%
Sous 3,6 %
$8,903 Vol.
2%
Sous 3,5 %
$43,095 Vol.
2%
Sous 3,0 %
$7,958 Vol.
1%
En dessous de 2,0 %
$564 Vol.
2%
Sous 1,0 %
$40,696 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield currently trades near 5.00%, up roughly 80 basis points since late February amid resilient U.S. growth, elevated inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, and a higher term premium. The Federal Reserve’s September 16 decision to hike the federal funds rate 25 basis points to the 3.75–4.00% range, citing strong economic momentum, AI-driven capital expenditures, and geopolitical pressures, has reinforced market-implied expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path. Fiscal supply pressures from large deficits and corporate borrowing further support elevated real yields. Key upcoming catalysts include the October 27–28 FOMC meeting, September CPI and employment data, and Q3 GDP, which could shift rate expectations and influence whether yields test lower levels before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Marché ouvert : Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$286,092Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield currently trades near 5.00%, up roughly 80 basis points since late February amid resilient U.S. growth, elevated inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, and a higher term premium. The Federal Reserve’s September 16 decision to hike the federal funds rate 25 basis points to the 3.75–4.00% range, citing strong economic momentum, AI-driven capital expenditures, and geopolitical pressures, has reinforced market-implied expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path. Fiscal supply pressures from large deficits and corporate borrowing further support elevated real yields. Key upcoming catalysts include the October 27–28 FOMC meeting, September CPI and employment data, and Q3 GDP, which could shift rate expectations and influence whether yields test lower levels before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Volume
$286,092Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield currently trades near 5.00%, up roughly 80 basis points since late February amid resilient U.S. growth, elevated inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, and a higher term premium. The Federal Reserve’s September 16 decision to hike the federal funds rate 25 basis points to the 3.75–4.00% range, citing strong economic momentum, AI-driven capital expenditures, and geopolitical pressures, has reinforced market-implied expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path. Fiscal supply pressures from large deficits and corporate borrowing further support elevated real yields. Key upcoming catalysts include the October 27–28 FOMC meeting, September CPI and employment data, and Q3 GDP, which could shift rate expectations and influence whether yields test lower levels before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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