The 5-year Treasury yield has climbed to approximately 4.86% as of mid-September 2026 amid sticky inflation and shifting rate expectations. August CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, with core measures holding above the Fed’s 2% target and energy prices contributing upward pressure. The Federal Reserve has maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50–3.75%, with markets now pricing in reduced odds of near-term cuts and some probability of hikes later in 2026. Elevated term premiums, heavy Treasury supply tied to fiscal deficits, and resilient economic data have also supported higher yields. Key upcoming releases include the September CPI on October 14 and the next FOMC meeting, which could further influence the path of medium-term rates through year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQuel sera le rendement du Trésor à 5 ans avant 2027 ?
Quel sera le rendement du Trésor à 5 ans avant 2027 ?
$25,169 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
5,25 %
20%
5,10 %
64%
5,00 %
61%
4,95 %
72%
4,90 %
87%
$25,169 Vol.
5,25 %
$4,040 Vol.
20%
5,10 %
$6,812 Vol.
64%
5,00 %
$5,352 Vol.
61%
4,95 %
$1,186 Vol.
72%
4,90 %
$1,892 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 5-year Treasury yield has climbed to approximately 4.86% as of mid-September 2026 amid sticky inflation and shifting rate expectations. August CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, with core measures holding above the Fed’s 2% target and energy prices contributing upward pressure. The Federal Reserve has maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50–3.75%, with markets now pricing in reduced odds of near-term cuts and some probability of hikes later in 2026. Elevated term premiums, heavy Treasury supply tied to fiscal deficits, and resilient economic data have also supported higher yields. Key upcoming releases include the September CPI on October 14 and the next FOMC meeting, which could further influence the path of medium-term rates through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$25,169Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 5-year Treasury yield has climbed to approximately 4.86% as of mid-September 2026 amid sticky inflation and shifting rate expectations. August CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, with core measures holding above the Fed’s 2% target and energy prices contributing upward pressure. The Federal Reserve has maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50–3.75%, with markets now pricing in reduced odds of near-term cuts and some probability of hikes later in 2026. Elevated term premiums, heavy Treasury supply tied to fiscal deficits, and resilient economic data have also supported higher yields. Key upcoming releases include the September CPI on October 14 and the next FOMC meeting, which could further influence the path of medium-term rates through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Volume
$25,169Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
The 5-year Treasury yield has climbed to approximately 4.86% as of mid-September 2026 amid sticky inflation and shifting rate expectations. August CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, with core measures holding above the Fed’s 2% target and energy prices contributing upward pressure. The Federal Reserve has maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50–3.75%, with markets now pricing in reduced odds of near-term cuts and some probability of hikes later in 2026. Elevated term premiums, heavy Treasury supply tied to fiscal deficits, and resilient economic data have also supported higher yields. Key upcoming releases include the September CPI on October 14 and the next FOMC meeting, which could further influence the path of medium-term rates through year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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