The 30-year Treasury yield, currently near 5.30% as of September 21, 2026, has climbed to multi-year highs amid the Federal Reserve’s first rate hike in three years on September 16, lifting the federal funds target to 3.75-4.00%. Persistent inflation pressures, elevated fiscal deficits, heavy Treasury supply, and surging corporate borrowing tied to AI infrastructure have lifted real yields and the term premium. Recent Treasury buyback expansions offered only temporary relief as yields rebounded. FOMC projections signal a higher-for-longer policy path, with the median funds rate expected near 4.15% through 2027. Key near-term catalysts include October and December FOMC meetings plus upcoming inflation and employment data that could shift rate expectations and long-end pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQuel sera le rendement du Trésor à 30 ans avant 2027 ?
Quel sera le rendement du Trésor à 30 ans avant 2027 ?
$42,146 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
6,00 %
17%
5,80 %
9%
5,70 %
9%
5,65 %
16%
5,60 %
28%
5,55 %
21%
5,50 %
52%
5,45 %
67%
5,40 %
76%
$42,146 Vol.
6,00 %
$2,751 Vol.
17%
5,80 %
$7,928 Vol.
9%
5,70 %
$2,859 Vol.
9%
5,65 %
$5,277 Vol.
16%
5,60 %
$2,939 Vol.
28%
5,55 %
$2,867 Vol.
21%
5,50 %
$2,686 Vol.
52%
5,45 %
$7,761 Vol.
67%
5,40 %
$7,078 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 30-year Treasury yield, currently near 5.30% as of September 21, 2026, has climbed to multi-year highs amid the Federal Reserve’s first rate hike in three years on September 16, lifting the federal funds target to 3.75-4.00%. Persistent inflation pressures, elevated fiscal deficits, heavy Treasury supply, and surging corporate borrowing tied to AI infrastructure have lifted real yields and the term premium. Recent Treasury buyback expansions offered only temporary relief as yields rebounded. FOMC projections signal a higher-for-longer policy path, with the median funds rate expected near 4.15% through 2027. Key near-term catalysts include October and December FOMC meetings plus upcoming inflation and employment data that could shift rate expectations and long-end pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$42,146Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 30-year Treasury yield, currently near 5.30% as of September 21, 2026, has climbed to multi-year highs amid the Federal Reserve’s first rate hike in three years on September 16, lifting the federal funds target to 3.75-4.00%. Persistent inflation pressures, elevated fiscal deficits, heavy Treasury supply, and surging corporate borrowing tied to AI infrastructure have lifted real yields and the term premium. Recent Treasury buyback expansions offered only temporary relief as yields rebounded. FOMC projections signal a higher-for-longer policy path, with the median funds rate expected near 4.15% through 2027. Key near-term catalysts include October and December FOMC meetings plus upcoming inflation and employment data that could shift rate expectations and long-end pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Volume
$42,146Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...The 30-year Treasury yield, currently near 5.30% as of September 21, 2026, has climbed to multi-year highs amid the Federal Reserve’s first rate hike in three years on September 16, lifting the federal funds target to 3.75-4.00%. Persistent inflation pressures, elevated fiscal deficits, heavy Treasury supply, and surging corporate borrowing tied to AI infrastructure have lifted real yields and the term premium. Recent Treasury buyback expansions offered only temporary relief as yields rebounded. FOMC projections signal a higher-for-longer policy path, with the median funds rate expected near 4.15% through 2027. Key near-term catalysts include October and December FOMC meetings plus upcoming inflation and employment data that could shift rate expectations and long-end pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes