Recent surface observations and model consensus from agencies tracking central China conditions indicate the daily maximum in Wuhan reached exactly 25°C amid persistent cloud cover, light northerly flow, and scattered precipitation that limited daytime heating. Multiple forecast runs, including those incorporating local humidity near 80% and dew points in the low 20s°C, converged on this value rather than higher readings typical for mid-September climatology. With the market-implied probability at 100% for 25°C, traders are aligning with verified station data expected to determine resolution. Only an unreported measurement revision or alternative data source could realistically alter the outcome before final settlement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 21 septembre ?
25°C 100.0%
24°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$35,575 Vol.
$35,575 Vol.
21 sept. 2026
24°C ou moins
Non
25°C
Oui
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C ou plus
Non
25°C 100.0%
24°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$35,575 Vol.
$35,575 Vol.
21 sept. 2026
24°C ou moins
$18,267 Vol.
Non
25°C
$6,346 Vol.
Oui
26°C
$3,545 Vol.
Non
27°C
$3,400 Vol.
Non
28°C
$1,681 Vol.
Non
29°C
$1,041 Vol.
Non
30°C
$762 Vol.
Non
31°C
$456 Vol.
Non
32°C
$16 Vol.
Non
33°C
$31 Vol.
Non
34°C ou plus
$31 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent surface observations and model consensus from agencies tracking central China conditions indicate the daily maximum in Wuhan reached exactly 25°C amid persistent cloud cover, light northerly flow, and scattered precipitation that limited daytime heating. Multiple forecast runs, including those incorporating local humidity near 80% and dew points in the low 20s°C, converged on this value rather than higher readings typical for mid-September climatology. With the market-implied probability at 100% for 25°C, traders are aligning with verified station data expected to determine resolution. Only an unreported measurement revision or alternative data source could realistically alter the outcome before final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$35,575Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent surface observations and model consensus from agencies tracking central China conditions indicate the daily maximum in Wuhan reached exactly 25°C amid persistent cloud cover, light northerly flow, and scattered precipitation that limited daytime heating. Multiple forecast runs, including those incorporating local humidity near 80% and dew points in the low 20s°C, converged on this value rather than higher readings typical for mid-September climatology. With the market-implied probability at 100% for 25°C, traders are aligning with verified station data expected to determine resolution. Only an unreported measurement revision or alternative data source could realistically alter the outcome before final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,575Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent surface observations and model consensus from agencies tracking central China conditions indicate the daily maximum in Wuhan reached exactly 25°C amid persistent cloud cover, light northerly flow, and scattered precipitation that limited daytime heating. Multiple forecast runs, including those incorporating local humidity near 80% and dew points in the low 20s°C, converged on this value rather than higher readings typical for mid-September climatology. With the market-implied probability at 100% for 25°C, traders are aligning with verified station data expected to determine resolution. Only an unreported measurement revision or alternative data source could realistically alter the outcome before final settlement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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