Forecast models from sources including GFS and Météo-France indicate a peak of 33°C in Paris on September 15, 2026, driven by clear skies, a dry continental air mass, and afternoon heating under southwesterly flow. This aligns with observed highs near 32–33°C by mid-afternoon before northwest winds and increasing cloud cover promote cooling toward evening lows around 18–20°C. Historical September averages hover near 22°C, making this anomalous warmth the dominant factor behind the market's near-certain 33°C resolution. Minor deviations remain possible from station-specific measurements or rapid model adjustments, though current consensus strongly supports this outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Paris le 15 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Paris le 15 septembre ?
33°C 100.0%
26°C ou moins <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$76,629 Vol.
$76,629 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Oui
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C ou plus
Non
33°C 100.0%
26°C ou moins <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$76,629 Vol.
$76,629 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
$2,877 Vol.
Non
27°C
$1,583 Vol.
Non
28°C
$1,784 Vol.
Non
29°C
$1,678 Vol.
Non
30°C
$4,489 Vol.
Non
31°C
$7,796 Vol.
Non
32°C
$15,465 Vol.
Non
33°C
$20,889 Vol.
Oui
34°C
$12,562 Vol.
Non
35°C
$6,454 Vol.
Non
36°C ou plus
$1,051 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and Météo-France indicate a peak of 33°C in Paris on September 15, 2026, driven by clear skies, a dry continental air mass, and afternoon heating under southwesterly flow. This aligns with observed highs near 32–33°C by mid-afternoon before northwest winds and increasing cloud cover promote cooling toward evening lows around 18–20°C. Historical September averages hover near 22°C, making this anomalous warmth the dominant factor behind the market's near-certain 33°C resolution. Minor deviations remain possible from station-specific measurements or rapid model adjustments, though current consensus strongly supports this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Volume
$76,629Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and Météo-France indicate a peak of 33°C in Paris on September 15, 2026, driven by clear skies, a dry continental air mass, and afternoon heating under southwesterly flow. This aligns with observed highs near 32–33°C by mid-afternoon before northwest winds and increasing cloud cover promote cooling toward evening lows around 18–20°C. Historical September averages hover near 22°C, making this anomalous warmth the dominant factor behind the market's near-certain 33°C resolution. Minor deviations remain possible from station-specific measurements or rapid model adjustments, though current consensus strongly supports this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$76,629Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Forecast models from sources including GFS and Météo-France indicate a peak of 33°C in Paris on September 15, 2026, driven by clear skies, a dry continental air mass, and afternoon heating under southwesterly flow. This aligns with observed highs near 32–33°C by mid-afternoon before northwest winds and increasing cloud cover promote cooling toward evening lows around 18–20°C. Historical September averages hover near 22°C, making this anomalous warmth the dominant factor behind the market's near-certain 33°C resolution. Minor deviations remain possible from station-specific measurements or rapid model adjustments, though current consensus strongly supports this outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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