The market-implied odds reflect a near-certain daily high of 29°C in Paris on September 14, supported by official observational data from Météo-France and regional weather stations showing temperatures peaking at that level under stable high-pressure conditions. This outcome exceeds typical mid-September climatological averages of 20–23°C, driven by recent warm air advection and clear skies that limited cooling. Forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligned closely with surface readings throughout the day, leaving minimal room for revision. Final verification of the maximum temperature threshold remains the key resolution factor, though any post-analysis adjustments would need to exceed established measurement uncertainty ranges to alter the result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Paris le 14 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Paris le 14 septembre ?
29°C 100%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$74,004 Vol.
$74,004 Vol.
14 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Oui
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C ou plus
Non
29°C 100%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$74,004 Vol.
$74,004 Vol.
14 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$2,607 Vol.
Non
23°C
$1,820 Vol.
Non
24°C
$140 Vol.
Non
25°C
$4,025 Vol.
Non
26°C
$5,954 Vol.
Non
27°C
$8,346 Vol.
Non
28°C
$34,488 Vol.
Non
29°C
$7,646 Vol.
Oui
30°C
$3,991 Vol.
Non
31°C
$3,422 Vol.
Non
32°C ou plus
$1,566 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds reflect a near-certain daily high of 29°C in Paris on September 14, supported by official observational data from Météo-France and regional weather stations showing temperatures peaking at that level under stable high-pressure conditions. This outcome exceeds typical mid-September climatological averages of 20–23°C, driven by recent warm air advection and clear skies that limited cooling. Forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligned closely with surface readings throughout the day, leaving minimal room for revision. Final verification of the maximum temperature threshold remains the key resolution factor, though any post-analysis adjustments would need to exceed established measurement uncertainty ranges to alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$74,004Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds reflect a near-certain daily high of 29°C in Paris on September 14, supported by official observational data from Météo-France and regional weather stations showing temperatures peaking at that level under stable high-pressure conditions. This outcome exceeds typical mid-September climatological averages of 20–23°C, driven by recent warm air advection and clear skies that limited cooling. Forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligned closely with surface readings throughout the day, leaving minimal room for revision. Final verification of the maximum temperature threshold remains the key resolution factor, though any post-analysis adjustments would need to exceed established measurement uncertainty ranges to alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$74,004Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The market-implied odds reflect a near-certain daily high of 29°C in Paris on September 14, supported by official observational data from Météo-France and regional weather stations showing temperatures peaking at that level under stable high-pressure conditions. This outcome exceeds typical mid-September climatological averages of 20–23°C, driven by recent warm air advection and clear skies that limited cooling. Forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligned closely with surface readings throughout the day, leaving minimal room for revision. Final verification of the maximum temperature threshold remains the key resolution factor, though any post-analysis adjustments would need to exceed established measurement uncertainty ranges to alter the result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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