Current observational data and forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate overcast conditions with light rain or drizzle holding daytime highs in Chengdu to a peak of 23°C on September 19. Persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and high humidity near 85–90% have suppressed solar heating and kept temperatures aligned with the market-implied outcome. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, yet the present synoptic pattern has produced cooler-than-normal readings. A sudden break in cloud cover or stronger subsidence could allow brief warming above this threshold, though model consensus and real-time station reports make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 19 septembre ?
23°C 100.0%
20°C ou moins <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$30,338 Vol.
$30,338 Vol.
20°C ou moins
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Oui
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C ou plus
Non
23°C 100.0%
20°C ou moins <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$30,338 Vol.
$30,338 Vol.
20°C ou moins
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Oui
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Current observational data and forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate overcast conditions with light rain or drizzle holding daytime highs in Chengdu to a peak of 23°C on September 19. Persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and high humidity near 85–90% have suppressed solar heating and kept temperatures aligned with the market-implied outcome. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, yet the present synoptic pattern has produced cooler-than-normal readings. A sudden break in cloud cover or stronger subsidence could allow brief warming above this threshold, though model consensus and real-time station reports make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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