Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate Busan’s September 18 maximum will reach 27 °C, driven by a warm, humid airmass with northeast winds near 10–15 km/h, limited daytime cloud cover after morning showers, and sea-surface temperatures supporting modest warming. Recent hourly observations climbing through the mid-20s °C align with this trajectory, while climatological norms for mid-September place typical highs around 25–26 °C. Trader consensus at 100 % implied probability for 27 °C reflects this tight model agreement and the absence of significant cooling mechanisms. A sudden increase in persistent rain or stronger onshore flow could cap temperatures below the threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before sunset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Busan le 18 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Busan le 18 septembre ?
27°C 100.0%
21°C ou moins <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$84,674 Vol.
$84,674 Vol.
18 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Oui
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C ou plus
Non
27°C 100.0%
21°C ou moins <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$84,674 Vol.
$84,674 Vol.
18 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
$4,100 Vol.
Non
22°C
$9,122 Vol.
Non
23°C
$13,801 Vol.
Non
24°C
$10,175 Vol.
Non
25°C
$9,686 Vol.
Non
26°C
$11,036 Vol.
Non
27°C
$20,321 Vol.
Oui
28°C
$5,539 Vol.
Non
29°C
$616 Vol.
Non
30°C
$226 Vol.
Non
31°C ou plus
$53 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate Busan’s September 18 maximum will reach 27 °C, driven by a warm, humid airmass with northeast winds near 10–15 km/h, limited daytime cloud cover after morning showers, and sea-surface temperatures supporting modest warming. Recent hourly observations climbing through the mid-20s °C align with this trajectory, while climatological norms for mid-September place typical highs around 25–26 °C. Trader consensus at 100 % implied probability for 27 °C reflects this tight model agreement and the absence of significant cooling mechanisms. A sudden increase in persistent rain or stronger onshore flow could cap temperatures below the threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$84,674Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate Busan’s September 18 maximum will reach 27 °C, driven by a warm, humid airmass with northeast winds near 10–15 km/h, limited daytime cloud cover after morning showers, and sea-surface temperatures supporting modest warming. Recent hourly observations climbing through the mid-20s °C align with this trajectory, while climatological norms for mid-September place typical highs around 25–26 °C. Trader consensus at 100 % implied probability for 27 °C reflects this tight model agreement and the absence of significant cooling mechanisms. A sudden increase in persistent rain or stronger onshore flow could cap temperatures below the threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$84,674Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate Busan’s September 18 maximum will reach 27 °C, driven by a warm, humid airmass with northeast winds near 10–15 km/h, limited daytime cloud cover after morning showers, and sea-surface temperatures supporting modest warming. Recent hourly observations climbing through the mid-20s °C align with this trajectory, while climatological norms for mid-September place typical highs around 25–26 °C. Trader consensus at 100 % implied probability for 27 °C reflects this tight model agreement and the absence of significant cooling mechanisms. A sudden increase in persistent rain or stronger onshore flow could cap temperatures below the threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before sunset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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