Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin holds a commanding lead in the FL-18 House race, reflected in the market's 92% implied probability, due to the district's consistent Republican lean (R+8 Cook PVI), his 65% margin in the 2024 general election, and unopposed advancement through the canceled August 2026 Republican primary. Franklin maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $800,000 raised by mid-2026 and strong cash reserves, while Democratic nominee Curtis Gibson, a former Lake Wales city commissioner, reports minimal receipts and limited visibility. Independent analyses from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A late national Democratic surge, significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though no such developments have emerged.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-18
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-18
$37,209 Vol.
$37,209 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Scott Franklin (R)
92%
Curtis Gibson (D)
9%
$37,209 Vol.
$37,209 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Scott Franklin (R)
$23,423 Vol.
92%
Curtis Gibson (D)
$13,787 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin holds a commanding lead in the FL-18 House race, reflected in the market's 92% implied probability, due to the district's consistent Republican lean (R+8 Cook PVI), his 65% margin in the 2024 general election, and unopposed advancement through the canceled August 2026 Republican primary. Franklin maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $800,000 raised by mid-2026 and strong cash reserves, while Democratic nominee Curtis Gibson, a former Lake Wales city commissioner, reports minimal receipts and limited visibility. Independent analyses from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A late national Democratic surge, significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though no such developments have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$37,209Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin holds a commanding lead in the FL-18 House race, reflected in the market's 92% implied probability, due to the district's consistent Republican lean (R+8 Cook PVI), his 65% margin in the 2024 general election, and unopposed advancement through the canceled August 2026 Republican primary. Franklin maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $800,000 raised by mid-2026 and strong cash reserves, while Democratic nominee Curtis Gibson, a former Lake Wales city commissioner, reports minimal receipts and limited visibility. Independent analyses from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A late national Democratic surge, significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though no such developments have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$37,209Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin holds a commanding lead in the FL-18 House race, reflected in the market's 92% implied probability, due to the district's consistent Republican lean (R+8 Cook PVI), his 65% margin in the 2024 general election, and unopposed advancement through the canceled August 2026 Republican primary. Franklin maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $800,000 raised by mid-2026 and strong cash reserves, while Democratic nominee Curtis Gibson, a former Lake Wales city commissioner, reports minimal receipts and limited visibility. Independent analyses from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A late national Democratic surge, significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though no such developments have emerged.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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