Incumbent Andrew Clyde secured the Republican nomination with 76% in the May 2026 primary, while Caitlyn Gegen took the Democratic nod at 60%, clearing the majority threshold without runoffs. The general election features only these two candidates in a district rated Solid Republican by forecasters, with a partisan lean that has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the GOP nominee. Traders assign 97.3% probability to an outright winner on November 3 because Georgia law triggers a December runoff only if no candidate reaches 50%, a threshold Clyde is positioned to exceed comfortably. Late shifts remain possible if a viable independent enters or turnout patterns deviate sharply from historical norms, though neither development appears imminent.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
97% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 mars 2027
Oui
97% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 mars 2027
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.Incumbent Andrew Clyde secured the Republican nomination with 76% in the May 2026 primary, while Caitlyn Gegen took the Democratic nod at 60%, clearing the majority threshold without runoffs. The general election features only these two candidates in a district rated Solid Republican by forecasters, with a partisan lean that has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the GOP nominee. Traders assign 97.3% probability to an outright winner on November 3 because Georgia law triggers a December runoff only if no candidate reaches 50%, a threshold Clyde is positioned to exceed comfortably. Late shifts remain possible if a viable independent enters or turnout patterns deviate sharply from historical norms, though neither development appears imminent.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Volume
$848Date de fin
1 avr. 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.Incumbent Andrew Clyde secured the Republican nomination with 76% in the May 2026 primary, while Caitlyn Gegen took the Democratic nod at 60%, clearing the majority threshold without runoffs. The general election features only these two candidates in a district rated Solid Republican by forecasters, with a partisan lean that has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the GOP nominee. Traders assign 97.3% probability to an outright winner on November 3 because Georgia law triggers a December runoff only if no candidate reaches 50%, a threshold Clyde is positioned to exceed comfortably. Late shifts remain possible if a viable independent enters or turnout patterns deviate sharply from historical norms, though neither development appears imminent.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.
Volume
$848Date de fin
1 avr. 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Andrew Clyde secured the Republican nomination with 76% in the May 2026 primary, while Caitlyn Gegen took the Democratic nod at 60%, clearing the majority threshold without runoffs. The general election features only these two candidates in a district rated Solid Republican by forecasters, with a partisan lean that has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the GOP nominee. Traders assign 97.3% probability to an outright winner on November 3 because Georgia law triggers a December runoff only if no candidate reaches 50%, a threshold Clyde is positioned to exceed comfortably. Late shifts remain possible if a viable independent enters or turnout patterns deviate sharply from historical norms, though neither development appears imminent.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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