Trump remains the sitting president following his January 2025 inauguration for a second term, with no active constitutional removal process underway. Recent House action on September 15 tabled an impeachment resolution over immigration enforcement, reflecting insufficient support even among Democrats amid midterm positioning. Republican congressional majorities and the compressed timeline make Senate conviction or 25th Amendment invocation impossible before September 30. Ongoing foreign policy developments, including Iran-related tensions, and routine executive actions have not produced acute crises capable of forcing resignation or incapacity declarations. Trader consensus at 99.6% for "No" reflects these structural barriers and historical precedent that presidential departures rarely occur without extended proceedings or extraordinary events. Late-breaking health developments or unforeseen scandals remain the only narrow paths that could theoretically alter outcomes within the window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
<1% chance
$1,331,110 Vol.
$1,331,110 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
Oui
<1% chance
$1,331,110 Vol.
$1,331,110 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains the sitting president following his January 2025 inauguration for a second term, with no active constitutional removal process underway. Recent House action on September 15 tabled an impeachment resolution over immigration enforcement, reflecting insufficient support even among Democrats amid midterm positioning. Republican congressional majorities and the compressed timeline make Senate conviction or 25th Amendment invocation impossible before September 30. Ongoing foreign policy developments, including Iran-related tensions, and routine executive actions have not produced acute crises capable of forcing resignation or incapacity declarations. Trader consensus at 99.6% for "No" reflects these structural barriers and historical precedent that presidential departures rarely occur without extended proceedings or extraordinary events. Late-breaking health developments or unforeseen scandals remain the only narrow paths that could theoretically alter outcomes within the window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
Volume
$1,331,110Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains the sitting president following his January 2025 inauguration for a second term, with no active constitutional removal process underway. Recent House action on September 15 tabled an impeachment resolution over immigration enforcement, reflecting insufficient support even among Democrats amid midterm positioning. Republican congressional majorities and the compressed timeline make Senate conviction or 25th Amendment invocation impossible before September 30. Ongoing foreign policy developments, including Iran-related tensions, and routine executive actions have not produced acute crises capable of forcing resignation or incapacity declarations. Trader consensus at 99.6% for "No" reflects these structural barriers and historical precedent that presidential departures rarely occur without extended proceedings or extraordinary events. Late-breaking health developments or unforeseen scandals remain the only narrow paths that could theoretically alter outcomes within the window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,331,110Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Trump remains the sitting president following his January 2025 inauguration for a second term, with no active constitutional removal process underway. Recent House action on September 15 tabled an impeachment resolution over immigration enforcement, reflecting insufficient support even among Democrats amid midterm positioning. Republican congressional majorities and the compressed timeline make Senate conviction or 25th Amendment invocation impossible before September 30. Ongoing foreign policy developments, including Iran-related tensions, and routine executive actions have not produced acute crises capable of forcing resignation or incapacity declarations. Trader consensus at 99.6% for "No" reflects these structural barriers and historical precedent that presidential departures rarely occur without extended proceedings or extraordinary events. Late-breaking health developments or unforeseen scandals remain the only narrow paths that could theoretically alter outcomes within the window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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