Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” dominates trader sentiment for CMA Single of the Year 2026 at a 69.5% implied probability, driven by its record-shattering chart run that includes more than 20 weeks at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 and a historic sweep of country and all-genre tallies. The track, co-written with Miranda Lambert and already honored with ACM Single and Song of the Year trophies, also earned Song of the Summer honors and strong streaming and sales metrics through mid-2026. Nominations announced in early September placed Langley in the category twice alongside Lainey Wilson’s “Somewhere Over Laredo,” Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You,” Cody Johnson’s “The Fall,” and her own “Be Her,” but none matched the commercial momentum or industry narrative surrounding the frontrunner. The Nov. 18 ceremony remains the key upcoming catalyst.